good evening everyone time now for the tropical update and this is a look at
tropical storm Beryl as of now this is what it's looking like
folks this storm is blowing my mind I'm just gonna be honest with you the way
that it's blowing up the winds have increased since I made the last video
and it's looking like it could now turn into a hurricane let's go check it all
out okay before we get to burrow I went to I wear the little yellow XS up here
in our neck of the woods I noticed something today it was a shower the Sun
was out little teeny MIDI find rain I tell you
guys to look for with the Sun out and then to peek which well it was a little
pocket of rain actually coming off of this thing it should not be anything to
alarm anybody up and down the eastern seaboard though but if you see some of
these showers with the Sun out just a little fine sprinkle stuff like that as
little pockets is coming off of this now it's a weak low pressure system it's
located a few hundred miles west southwest of Bermuda and it's producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity environmental conditions appear
conducive for some development through the end of the week while the system
moves west-northwestward and then northward at about 10 miles per hour
off of the North Carolina coast now the lowest forecast to interact with a
frontal system on Sunday which should limit any additional development 30% now
in two days 40% in five days and you guys have seen in the regular general
weather news a system moving on down and it's going to make it go just like this
it should not bother us but crazy things are happening this little fellow right
here and a little fella anymore right now this is tropical storm Beryl
okay the winds now are 50 miles per hour
they've jumped up just since I made my last video and the pressure keeps going
down the minimum central pressure 1004 millibars it's located if you're
tracking it 10.3 north 42.8 west and it's moving at 16 miles per hour now
here's something really caught me by a surprise okay
I said tropical storm probably hurricane no well I was wrong they're looking here
to a in come Saturday morning burl should be hurricane burl not tropical
storm then by that afternoon is going see it's going to intensify until it
gets to this dry air okay and it's going to intensify enough now that the dry air
and even the shear winds is looking like tropical storm strength winds and who
knows what the rain of be at this point we'll have to check it a little further
down say like tomorrow okay not today it's too early tomorrow to see how much
rain this thing kind of category categorizes around it and gets built up
but it still looks like maybe some of these islands and I'm thinking around
Martinique now okay it's changed a little bit
there's no warnings or advisories up at the moment but I'm pretty sure at some
point if that stays the way it is now you you guys in the the islands you're
going to get some okay so just be aware of it don't be afraid be prepared do not
be scared be prepared because it should the winds the winds are going is going
to encounter shear winds it's going to encounter dry air
what's happening is it's moving fast and the shear winds and the dry air systems
aren't moving as fast as this is right now that's why it's building up boom
boom boom boom boom boom but once it gets to a certain point it should ease
on down okay but there you have it right there you can see okay as of right now
you saw the picture while ago borough tropical storm Beryl it's not a huge
storm it's a tiny storm nevertheless it's a
tropical storm okay and like I just said there's no coastal watches or warnings
in effect right now now the center at 5:00 p.m. was located near latitude 10.3
north longitude 42.8 west and of course it's moving to the west at around 16
miles per hour okay fast westward to west-northwestward motion is expected
through the weekend and on the forecast track as we've looked at the center of
Burrell will remain east of the Lesser Antilles through Sunday maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 50 miles per hour with higher gusts the
additional strengthening is forecast and Burrell is has a good chance to become a
hurricane by tomorrow or Saturday now Burrell is forecast to degenerate
into open trough areas okay into an open trough just east of the Lesser Antilles
over the weekend it's a tiny storm but it's got tropical storm force winds and
they extend outward and up to around 35 miles from the center and like I say the
pressure keeps dropping
it's 1,000 for millibars or regular barometer readings like everyone's used
to 29.6 5 I wanted to share this with you guys it looks like I'm not the only
one that it's just hard to believe how fast this thing blew up looks like the
Hurricane Center wasn't expecting it either here's their key messages one due
to its very small size there is greater than usual uncertainty in the analysis
of Burroughs current intensity confidence in the official intensity
forecast is also much lower than normal rapid changes in intensity both up and
down that are difficult to predict or possible during the next couple of days
well now you see why I'm telling you do not be afraid be prepared
who knows folks it may blow up it may go on and fizzle out I'm just showing you
what it's looking like right now number two while Burrell is still expected to
dissipate as a tropical cyclone by Monday before reaching the Lesser
Antilles there will likely be some rain and wind impacts on those islands early
next week residents there should monitor products
and like your local weather office for more information well that's what I've
told them to do too well now the National Weather Hurricane Center is
saying the same things what do I think I think folks you're going to get a little
wind and you're going to get some rain how much rain I do not know yet I need
to watch and go over some things tomorrow for that weather it will
dissipate completely before it gets there
I'm not gonna say it is it might it depends on how the winds tear it apart
and it depends on if it does reach that hurricane strength as the National
Hurricane Center thinks it might that all these things have to work in
together tomorrow we should have a much better picture of all of that
information and as soon as I kind of am able to nail it down a little better
you can't nail it down right now the thing changing too fast I'll be sure and
put it up for you I want to show you one more quick thing and that my friend is
this particular model everybody who has ever followed me since last year
hurricane season night I really like the TV see in forecast model it puts
everything together we're looking now off of my coast this is where this
little area is located right now it shouldn't turn into anything let's hope
it don't because if not look I hear it's coming right straight up to my my area
but it should go off as we see some of these shot
little rain showers like I were talking about earlier with the Sun out just a
little fine nitty drizzle rain and then booths are gone and then you might run
in some more that's because they're coming from this as you can see they're
out in here and there that's why they're coming in from the east for the most
part now these storms from the West that's real rain that's not what I'm
talking about I'm talking about the little fine rain that doesn't last long
and then you might run into another patch so we've got this one taken care
of and this is so tightly compacted I'm gonna make it bigger but the black line
is the model that I really like to go by let's see if we can make this a little
bit bigger and here we go tropical storm tropical storm tropical storm and it
does have it as a hurricane and that is this coming up Saturday this coming up
Saturday I don't know if it will click on it or
not let me see what it's saying I want to see and we got it going 75
mile-per-hour winds so that should be a category 1 category 1 around 2 a.m.
Saturday morning it should be a hurricane with 75 mile-per-hour winds
then after that here it is on Saturday next points tropical storm and that is
around 8 a.m. on Saturday morning so it does begin to die down will move across
some I'm still not sure it's going to die all the way down before it hits the
islands and then here we are right in here then by 2:00 p.m. on the 8th Sunday
it's got 60 mile-per-hour winds so see it's dying down but this is a pretty
high-end tropical storm at this point ok 60 mile-per-hour winds so you know the
gusts are going to be a little more so far as the rain can't knock it down yet
can't tell you about how much rain to expect with this and you see it's not
really that far going between Martinique and Dominica all right now it's split in
two ways I think that's because they're they're waiting to see what the shear
wind in the dry air and the steering currents for the main point the steering
currents how it may affect this ok so you're going to get effects anyway
60 mile-per-hour winds you're going to feel it all over the place ok in this
area and then of course it should wind along down hopefully as it starts to
approach a little bit south of Puerto Rico and at some point if it didn't
change its track it may hit some parts of the Dominican Republic so that's what
it's looking like right now everybody be safe
once again do not be scared or worried just be prepared be prepared my friends
and look I'm gonna check everything as best as I can I will not make another
report tonight but that's what it's looking like now the one thing that's
got me and now I see the National Hurricane Center is kind of in a
roundabout way admitting it to this thing has blowed up so fast to be such a
tiny area that it covers it blows my mind okay be safe people I'll keep you
informed you just be prepared it should not get over a category one but you're
still going to have some wins I believe in the the islands and the National
Hurricane Center says it should dissipate before he gets there well
let's hope it does because if it doesn't you are going to get some wins
have a good evening I love you please subscribe click the bell get all the
latest and weather news forecasts watches warnings alerts and tropical
weather ok I want to get this out because I like to try to keep people
safe yes I can you know I do I've been doing this for a long time now and
that's my main thing trying to keep people safe and aware make sure you've
got your plans your kits your animals taking care of make sure you've got
everything taken care of now you know this thing is building you know there is
the greatest possibility and the chance and it is looking like it is going to be
a hurricane you see how close it is to the islands right in here and it still
got 60 mile-per-hour winds and the forecasts take all of this in and
anybody in the states if you've got anybody traveling I know it's summertime
everybody's buzzing around going down to the
Islands this and that anybody on a cruise or this or that or the other
please make sure they know about this and share this information okay you take
care you have a good evening I do love you all thank you so much for everything
you do for me and I will see you in the morning with the good Lords will peace
loving kindness to all
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