My name is Michael Griggs
I'm the senior house manager at next-step village and I've been sober for three years
the first time I got intoxicated was when I was 13 and I
Was with a bunch of friends at a friend's house and we had gotten into their parents liquor cabinet
when I felt the effects of alcohol for the first time, I got an overwhelming sense of euphoria and
the thought was placed in my head that if I
Introduced this substance into anything that I was doing that it would only improve it. So the progression
was
Relatively slow at first I drank for about ten years the last six years of that
I went into a freefall and that started when I was 19. I lost a job
I failed out of school and I got my first DUI when I was 24
I went to treatment for the first time after my family and friends gave me an intervention
After that first treatment episode. I returned home to New Jersey and had to move back in with my parents. I lost another job
Got my second DUI and had lost the will to live at that point when I hit my bottom
I had a moment of clarity where I realized there had to be more to life than the way
and living for as long as I had been and that's when I decided to seek treatment that change that came about for me is
Really hard to describe and it was more like a switch just went off. I can't really explain what happened
The biggest difference between going to the recovery village as opposed to the first time
I went to treatment was the change that occurred in me
I wanted to get help and I wanted to get better and I was willing to do what it took the most difficult part of
deciding to go to the recovery village was
knowing that I was going to be leaving home indefinitely and
also in a way it's the end of
one life and I wasn't really sure what
the next chapter of things was going to look like so that unknown was
Expiry I was in the recovery village
I
was able to
Focus on a lot of things and learn a lot of tools to be able to use once I left the recovery village
but the aftercare program allowed me to
practice those things and
Implement them into my life take on a life that I wanted so through my recovery
I've learned that I'm not alone and I don't have to do this alone that honesty open-mindedness and willingness are
indispensable in this journey
And the hard path is usually the right path
You
For more infomation >> I'm Possible: Michael G. From Alcohol to Recovery. [Addiction Story] - Duration: 2:59.-------------------------------------------
Uncover the Boardwalk with Amy G: Relax and Recharge - Duration: 2:02.
We are always in search of a family get away that makes us feel like you're able to connect more.
Hey everybody! I'm Amy Gutierrez. You may know me as Amy G.
The Santa Cruz Beach Boardwalk is just this perfect place to get off the phone, get away, and recharge.
When we think as a family about what we could do that everybody is going to enjoy,
this location is something that rises right to the top because it offers so many different things for different age groups.
There's things that my daughter is going to like at ten, that my son may not like and he can go do something else.
We live two and a half hours away, but we feel kinda feel like we're way far away than that. You just really feel like you've escaped.
That lets everybody let their guard down because you just really feel like you are on a vacation.
There was no shortage of food at the Boardwalk, and everything was amazing.
Food is huge in joining family members, you know? Especially when you enjoy the same things.
Being able to have this ridiculously decadent tator twist with your kids is an bonding experience.
Shopping is always part of vacation. I remember, I was a kid, wherever I went with my Mom and Dad,
we always got some kind of token of where we had been, and that was something that you looked back on
when you got older.
I already knew that I loved the Santa Cruz Beach Boardwalk
just based on my history here,
but being able to come back and now as an adult, and watch my kids really, thoroughly enjoy themselves; this is the place to go.
Whether it's food, entertainment, sun, thrill seeking. It's all here.
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Neu-Ehefrau Michelle Williams: Heath ist noch Teil von Leben - Duration: 1:08.
For more infomation >> Neu-Ehefrau Michelle Williams: Heath ist noch Teil von Leben - Duration: 1:08. -------------------------------------------
The Tragic Real-Life Story Of The Man Who Played Sloth - Duration: 4:27.
John "The Tooz" Matuszak was just as famous in the '80s for his hard-partying, larger-than-life
persona as he was for his football game.
But even if you didn't know him for either of those reasons, you definitely knew about
his alter-ego the enormous, gentle Sloth, whose unconventional appearance was the face
of the 1985 classic The Goonies.
In a lot of ways, Sloth wasn't just the on-screen alter ego of the former football star, he
was the actual manifestation of the person Matuszak was on the inside: a lovable giant
who was also a generous friend.
After attending a few different colleges, including the University of Missouri - where
he got kicked out of for punching a guy at a party - he landed at the University of Tampa.
The NFL took notice of his 6 foot 8 frame - so much so that the Houston Oilers selected
number one overall in the 1973 draft.
Unfortunately, though, the man behind Sloth didn't get his happy ending.
During his second season with the Oilers,
Matuszak was traded to the Kansas City Chiefs, who traded him to the Washington Redskins,
who cut him just two weeks later, at the end of the 1976 preseason.
Why was his stint in Washington so short-lived?
According to coach George Allen: "Vodka and Valium."
"One for me...breakfast of champions, there."
This reputation for drink and debauchery would only get worse.
"I didn't know anything about John Matuszak other than he was supposed to be nuts."
After Washington cut him loose, Matuszak was
a free agent, and the Oakland Raiders were desperate after three of their defensive linemen
suffered season-ending injuries.
So they pretended they didn't know about the vodka and Valium and made Matuszak a Raider.
Coach John Madden told ESPN: "When he arrived, I wasn't about to talk to
him about his past.
[...] If you know too much about a guy, you tend to prejudge him, to hold his past against
him."
The gamble paid off.
In Matuszak's first season, the Raiders won their first Super Bowl title.
But afterward, he gradually began to fall back into his hard-partying ways.
He always played well, though, so he managed to get away with all the headline-making hijinks.
Matuszak's ex-fiance Stephanie Cozart recounted to the LA Times the number of times he committed
himself to rehab and then walked out before completing the program.
She revealed: "I have a little velvet box at home.
It's full of 30-day and 60-day chips.
They give those out at the [AA and CA] meetings.
His big goal was to get a 90-day chip [...] and he never got one."
In his autobiography, Cruisin' with the Tooz,
Matuszak described six separate incidents involving automobiles that each resulted in
convictions.
According to the LA Times, he had an excuse for all of them, ranging from swerving to
avoid a child to not knowing there was marijuana in the car.
In one incident, he attacked the other driver before fleeing the scene.
But he never wanted to take responsibility for his actions.
According to ex-fiance Cozart: "It was never his fault.
And it never had anything to do with the fact that he was high."
Football often leads to injuries and because
of one he sustained, Matuszak sat out the 1982 season and then decided to retire from
football altogether.
The pain and resulting medications were the final straw after years of hard partying and
drug abuse.
In 1989 at the age of 38, he passed away after accidentally overdosing on the painkiller
Darvocet.
After the coroner's report was released, his parents admitted that their son used prescription
and illegal drugs to try to cope with chronic back pain.
They added in a statement: "At the proper time, we will have things to
say about substance abuse and the scoundrels in the medical profession who recklessly dispense
prescription drugs and the parasites of society who distribute illicit drugs from back alleys
to fashionable condominiums."
In the midst of all of this, it's worth remembering
that John Matuszak had a big heart.
He was a brawler, a partier, and a guy who didn't want to take responsibility for his
actions, but that wasn't all.
"Well I'm really not mean in personality at all.
When you play the game of pro football, it's like assuming a character in a part."
He was also known for his generosity and often visited sick children.
Jeff Cohen, who played Chunk in Goonies shared: "John was really nice to me and it was fun
to work with him.
But it's funny, when I was a teenager and I would start to watch the old NFL films [...] he
would just terrify people on the field, which was totally shocking to me.
I knew him as Sloth, the nice, lovable giant."
According to the New York Times, the coroner's report also listed bronchial pneumonia and
an enlarged heart as factors that contributed to his death.
Unfortunately, The Tooz's big heart just couldn't handle all the excesses it had been forced
to endure over the far too-short life of the man it belonged to.
-------------------------------------------
The Hunt for the First Neutrinos in the Universe | Cosmic Neutrino Background - Duration: 6:46.
[ ♪ Intro ]
If you like cosmology, you've probably seen this picture before.
It's called the Cosmic Microwave Background, or the CMB,
and it's a false color image of the oldest light in the universe that physics allows us to see.
It's a baby photo from when space was around 400,000 years old.
But it not the oldest image we might one day capture.
There's another, elusive cosmic background created by some of the most mysterious particles physics has described: neutrinos.
Appropriately, it's called the Cosmic Neutrino Background.
And if astronomers are able to snap a photo of it, well,
it'll open up a treasure trove of knowledge about the universe when it was only a second old.
Both the CMB and its neutrino counterpart have to do with a phenomenon called decoupling.
These were moments when certain particles stopped interacting with the rest of the matter in the universe,
and could stream through space without, for the most part, hitting anything.
See, at the moment of the universe's birth,
it was so hot that everything was just a soup of fundamental subatomic particles and light.
Then, as space expanded, temperatures started dropping, and particles started slowing down.
Eventually, that allowed the formation of protons and neutrons, then atomic nuclei,
and then atoms as a whole. And so on and so forth.
The Cosmic Microwave Background formed when photons separated from this soup.
For the first several hundred thousand years, there were so many lone electrons zipping around that the universe was opaque,
because photons couldn't travel very far before getting scattered.
Then, as the universe grew, the density of these free electrons decreased.
Many also started getting locked up into newly-formed atoms, so the average time between photon scattering increased.
And 380,000 years after the Big Bang, light was able to stream unimpeded through the universe.
Scientists say that this is when photons decoupled from matter.
And images of the CMB show us that moment.
But photons weren't the first particles to separate from the primordial soup.
When the universe was only a second old, neutrinos high-tailed it outta there, freely flying through space.
They produce their own background radiation distinct from the CMB, called the C𝝼B, or CNB.
The Cosmic Neutrino Background.
Neutrinos are in the same family of particles as electrons.
But unlike electrons, they're really hard to detect because they almost never interact with anything.
Like, you literally have trillions of them streaming through your body right now.
To neutrinos, even entire planets mean nothing.
This is why they were able to decouple from matter much faster than photons did.
They only had to wait for the universe to cool to 35 billion Kelvin, as opposed to a few thousand.
At that point, things were moving slowly enough, relatively speaking,
that neutrinos stopped crashing into other particles all the time.
Now, it's worth noting that not all neutrinos were made in the Big Bang.
They're also produced by stars as they undergo nuclear fusion,
and by your own body as certain radioactive atoms decay.
But cosmic neutrinos are a lot sneakier.
And right now, we don't have technology sensitive enough to find direct evidence of them.
Our current detectors can isolate neutrinos with energies on the order of 0.1 Megaelectron volts,
but that's over a billion times more energetic than cosmic neutrinos.
So we're working on indirect detection.
And there are a couple ways we can do that.
First, there's studying the CMB for any subtle imprints the CnuB may have made.
Basically, after neutrinos decoupled but before photons did,
the neutrinos would have created tiny sonic booms in the primordial soup.
They would've produced regions that were slightly hotter or colder than others nearby.
So far, some papers have reported detecting cosmic neutrinos' influence on the CMB.
A 2005 report in Physical Review Letters used data from the WMAP satellite and the Sloan Digital Sky Survey.
And Planck telescope data provided less ambiguous results a decade later.
It doesn't confirm anything for sure yet, but it is a promising start.
The other indirect detection method requires monitoring the radioactive decay of tritium.
That's a hydrogen atom with two extra neutrons in its nucleus.
Tritium naturally decays by emitting an electron,
but it can be forced to decay faster than usual if it absorbs a neutrino.
In that case, the electron it emits has a measurably different energy.
That energy actually depends on the energy of the neutrino that was absorbed.
So by tracking it, physicists would be able to tell the difference between the tritium absorbing a cosmic neutrino,
or one from another source.
The problem with this method, though, is scale.
Because the energy of cosmic neutrinos is so low, and our detectors aren't very large or sensitive,
we can only hope for a single detection a month. If that.
The KATRIN experiment in Germany, for example, uses 20 micrograms of tritium.
And under the most ideal of conditions they estimate they'll get 1.7 hits a year.
The PTOLEMY experiment at Princeton, on the other hand,
is currently operating a prototype device to track even more neutrinos.
It involves a detector the size of a postage stamp made of a single, atom-thick layer of tritium
on top of an atom-thick layer of carbon.
Ultimately, they hope to expand their amount of tritium up to 100 grams,
where they might capture 10 cosmic neutrinos a year.
So we'll see.
There's a ton of effort and money going into these techniques,
but scientists aren't doing it just for the thrill of the hunt.
Finding cosmic neutrinos would push back how far into the universe's history we can actually observe.
Right now, math can take us back further than the CMB,
but we don't have the experimental data to confirm it.
It's all hypothetical.
The CnuB would push us back to a time where matter and light readily interacted.
And knowing more about these cosmic neutrinos would inform astronomers how
what we normally think of as anti-social particles actually affected the structure of the universe.
So thanks, cosmic neutrinos currently flying straight through my… yep.
There they go.
Through the entire planet.
What are you going to do?
Thanks for watching this episode of SciShow Space!
If you'd like to learn more about the Big Bang,
you can watch our episode about the first few moments of the universe that physics can't quite explain.
[ ♪ Outro ]
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For more infomation >> Suzuki Vitara - Duration: 1:07. -------------------------------------------
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Cardi B ft. Drake/Kodak Black/Moneybagg Yo - "Pablo" Type Beat | Prod. By @Chad_G - Duration: 3:42.
Cardi B ft. Drake/Kodak Black/Moneybagg Yo - "Pablo"
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VW Tiguan - Duration: 1:12.
For more infomation >> VW Tiguan - Duration: 1:12. -------------------------------------------
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Audi A1 - Duration: 0:43.
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MPSA Robert H Durr Award - Eric Min - Duration: 1:53.
- In the research project that I've done
with my co-author, Azusa Katagiri,
we looked at 18,000 declassified documents
from the National Archives and Presidential Libraries
across the country to get a full
and comprehensive view of the Berlin Crisis
between 1958 and 1963.
And we converted these documents into digitized data
in order to test existing theories about
how public and private diplomacy work
in the midst of crises.
There's a lot of scholarly debate about
whether or not public statements are more costly
because they're done in front of an audience
compared to private statements,
which are seen as being costless and cheap.
But what we ultimately find is actually evidence
that goes in the opposite direction,
showing that it's often public statements
that tend to be the ones that are incredibly noisy,
are not very meaningful,
and it's often private statements that are the ways
that elites communicate with one another
in a very direct way.
And we show this using a combination of machine learning,
text analysis, and statistical analyses.
In our case, we were lucky in that these
groups of data were sort of separated into categories
that we really wanted.
So in terms of private documents,
we were looking at documents from
the Department of State, which was cataloging
all the cables that were coming in and out
but you know, all were confidential.
For the public documents, we were looking at
the Foreign Broadcast Information Service,
which was a CIA-run project back in the 50s
to try to capture everything
that the Soviet Union was saying
through its radio statements and public speeches.
And then we were looking at White House documents
as an indicator of what
the Kennedy and Eisenhower administrations were thinking
behind the scenes in response to the
kind of activity that was coming
in front of their desks.
-------------------------------------------
Star Wars: AT-TE Walker - Vehicle Analysis - Duration: 4:31.
For more infomation >> Star Wars: AT-TE Walker - Vehicle Analysis - Duration: 4:31. -------------------------------------------
DJ Khaled - No Brainer (Lyrics) ft. Justin Bieber, Quavo, Chance the Rapper - Duration: 4:22.
Boyz Are back !!!!
#CreepyArmy
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2018 Cyclone Scholar Summer Research Experience - service learning - Duration: 2:31.
*background music*
Well service learning was incorporated into the Cyclone Scholar program in
order to expose the students not only to our objectives of, you know, food safety, food
security and the childhood obesity aspect, but to also to give them an
opportunity to you know be involved in the community and see on that side of
things to really have that interdisciplinary approach to the
program. So not only are we wanting them to get the experience on the research
side of things, but coming up as the next generation of researchers, we want them
to see, all the way from the farm to the table, how they can make an impact in
this field.
*background music*
We helped a local farmer sort of weed some of his pepper plants and then plant
them in spots, plant others in spots where they were devoid of pepper
plants. It felt good to help out, especially with such a big field, and
kind of as he took us along, it made me realize how big his field was because
I've never been on a farm, even though I like gardening and things like that, but
that's very small-scale compared to that.
*background music*
I worked the Bingo station. It was
actually nutrition Bingo, though, so the tiles had different like vegetables or like
fruits on them and then what we read were just like facts about it.
And it was just, for me, personally, I felt like I learned a lot doing that. And
also it was very fun interacting with the high school kids being able to talk
about the foods on there.
*background music*
I think it's important to take part in these
service learning projects because this is how we reach out to the community. I
never knew that I could go into food science or go into nutrition until I
was already in high school when people are looking at colleges and already kind
of have their track for life planned out, or at least an idea of it. So I think
it's cool from that point of view, and also because it allows us to give back
and have influence over the next generation and the people who, who could
do amazing things in their future.
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Relativism Refutes Itself (Greg Bahnsen) - Duration: 9:28.
Recently when I was in Moscow, I went to an international conference on religious liberty
Which in itself is very significant
I think that in Russia
They're having a conference on religious liberty and they held it I think probably purposely
To be ironic and maybe a bit pointed. They held it in the former building. That was for the Communist Youth Brigade
Where people were taught, you know, atheistic communism now in Russia, we have religious liberty
but of course as you might realize religious liberty means a lot of different things and
They probably didn't realize what they were getting into when they invited me to to speak to them on that subject
Because for two days, I had to endure all this barfy stuff
about how you know religion is the realm of the mysterious and we're all doing our best that you know,
And we're all very sincere and we're all you know
Really brothers under the skin and we really love each other and we respect each other and for dr
Bunsen stood up and said well, no, as a matter of fact, we don't all respect each other and we aren't all brothers
Okay, basically the argument for religious liberty that I was hearing from
Muslims and Hindus and Roman Catholics and Lutheran's
And seventh-day adventists and Russian Orthodox and old believers and so forth. The argument I was hearing is
Known as relativism. No one knows for sure. And so you create your own reality
You know, you've got to live with your own understanding of God
You've got to make your way in this world. And if your view of God helps you feel better then that's true for you
But then there are other traditions which should be equally respected in Russia now that we're opening the door to religion
That's what they are arguing other traditions that have to be respected as well
Okay. So what I spoke I'm not going to give you that whole lecture. Let me boil it down
I basically said religious liberty cannot be founded on relativism
See they thought relativism was just another way of talking about religious liberty everybody has a right to their own opinion
I said if you believe that everyone creates their own reality then Hitler creates his own reality, too and
Hitler therefore in terms of his reality has the right to kill the Jews
because that's the reality he's created and so here you have a suppression of religious liberty in fact genocide and
Relativism condones it because after all everybody creates their own
reality
and then I went through an ugly laundry list of all of the persecution each of the groups in the audience including
Protestants American Protestant was guilty of in terms of religious liberty. I
said every one of us is guilty if we're a relativist of
persecuting other people and
Allowing for it and holding two views that would allow for that when someone tells you you create your own reality and everybody's right
The answer is if everybody's right then clearly nobody's wrong including the EDL means of the world the Hitler's
The David Koresh's and all the rest
Relativism kills itself
It isn't sufficient for somebody to say
We you believe that but I believe something else and you know reality this kind of twist and turn to fit everybody. It's like
Reality becomes a smorgasbord you go into the smorgasbord. Maybe you'll choose the eggplant. I sure wouldn't
But I'll choose the fried chicken and you don't really want fried chicken. It's like reality will be whatever you want
You have the eggplant approach the reality of the chicken approach to reality you pick whatever you want. It's not like that and
Certainly. God is not like that. God is not a smorgasbord
God doesn't say well just please let me into your life. I'll be whatever you want me to be
And that's what I call the mr. Potatohead approach to theology. You know, some people will put mr
Potato Head together with eyes here and ears over here and all the rest. No, no, no. No God's not like that
He's really like this and it was not going to be out of what to say
Well God is whatever you want him to be what an insult
If God is whatever you want him to be he is not God, or she is not God. It is not God
Relaf assists well
It's true for you. It's not true for me true for you is one of the most asinine statements in the English language
Truth is not person relative
You know, let's go back to the doctor's office. Dr. Bahnson is told by this doctor
He's supposed to know he has the blood where he has the lab tests over. He says, dr. Watson. You've got diabetes
I say well that's true for you
It's not true for me
No, it's a relative assist nobody can know anything for sure
And this is what you're gonna get
I guarantee you if you go to a secular school, and the teacher likes you and
Interestingly enough in many cases teachers do like Christians even though they're not Christians
You know why because the Christian students are the few students that will challenge them and seem to be alert
at least they'll talk intelligently and
I'm not saying that as gratuitous, you know flattery to you guys because you're Christians
I mean that I've seen that over and over again teachers will say please come around and talk about this more at least
thinking these other kids, you know, just want a party or just want to get through the class, whatever but if the teacher
Talks to you after class wants to hear more and then wants to you know, it's always this condescending
Let me help you out of your Sunday school superstition and ignorance, you know
The university is going to really mature you. This is going to be the age of enlightenment for you
let me tell you well after you hold to your faith and
You give answers to the objections and so forth
You'll often have the teacher tell you and then you have roommates and others who will say this in a less
Sophisticated way the teacher will say well you have to understand that
You know truth is relative and you're very committed to this but in the university you're going to learn there are other truths
there are other universes to explore Oh
barf
Other universes, I'd like to live in the one where I find myself. Thank you. I want to deal with this one
When someone tells you the truth is relative that there is no absolute truth
The question you're going to have this is that absolutely true
Let me say that again because some of you started to nod off
Now I'm going to begin the sentence and when I get to the end
I want to see all of you still looking up here
Okay, when someone says there is no absolute truth you're going to say is that absolutely true
Now we're on the horns of a dilemma as logicians foot it because if the teacher says no even
That's not absolutely true. You say well then fine. Then I'm free to believe otherwise and there is absolute truth. I
Think he just says. Oh, well, I don't want to do that. So
Yeah, it's absolutely true
You say well, then you're wrong that there is no absolute truth because it's absolutely true that there is no absolute truth
And by the way, if it's absolutely true that there is no absolute truth. You've contradicted yourself
And so maybe you ought to go back and get some more education before you teach this class. Don't say that
Relativism is just another form of being arbitrary
Educated people know better than to be arbitrary. There are not many educated people in our culture today
Most college graduates are not educated people
I do not mean that to be just the slur and a slam against college graduates, but it's true
Literally descriptively true people can get a piece of paper from college and not know how to think
not know how to research not how to put together one paragraph of a decent argument and
the reason well
It's among many reasons but a major reason why people don't think anymore is because we've gotten used to being
Arbitrary offering mere opinions and then when there's a clash between the mere opinions running to relativism
Because there isn't that a lot more comfortable. If you're a relativist, then you can go to cocktail parties and everybody's welcome
I've done this I go to parties when I was at SC and the Graduate School and so forth
Jesus would be welcome at their cocktail parties. As long as Jesus didn't say he was the only truth that'd be fine
then we have Buddha and we have Jesus and we have Confucius and we have Mao and all the rest and
Everybody's just having a good time if we respect each other
Then we don't have to worry about people getting down on us. I'm welcome. You're welcome. Hey, I'm okay. You're okay
It's relativism and it's academically shoddy
People who contradict each other cannot both be right in some cases depending on the nature of the contradiction
Both can be wrong
But both cannot be right. I cannot have diabetes and it not be the case that I have diabetes at the same time
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Skoda Octavia - Duration: 1:05.
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MPSA Patrick J Fett Award - Hertel-Fernandez, Mildenberger, Stokes - Duration: 8:34.
- The paper that we presented last year was called
Legislative Staff and Representation in Congress
and this paper's really inspired
by an absence of research on staff.
There's been a lot of literature in the last decade
in political science that's really focused
on trying to understand representation.
Are elected officials trying to act and make decisions
that reflect the beliefs and attitudes and preferences
of the people who elect them
or are they responsive to interest groups
or other types of organizations?
But a lot of that is focused on the legislators
and elected officials themselves,
but often staff, policy directors, legislative directors,
chiefs of staff are sort of the bridge,
they're the glue that binds the public
to the elected officials themselves.
So if I contact my Congressperson,
likely I'm going to speak to a staff person
and then that staff person's gonna translate
my opinion to them.
So what role do these staff play in the democratic process?
And can a focus on staff really help us make sense
of some of the surprises that we found in the last decade
in the absence of a clear link sometimes
between the public preferences and staff,
public references and the way
elected officials behave actually.
So what we did was we launched one of the first surveys
of elites and we surveyed Congressional staffers.
So we surveyed all policy chiefs of staff,
all legislative directors, all chiefs of staff
for all Congresspeople and all Senators
at the federal level and we partnered
with a few elected officials on the Hill
to try and increase our response rate.
We got about a 10% response rate,
which was really good for work of this sort
that focused on elites, and more importantly,
the type of people who responded to our survey
turned out to be very similar to the general type
of folks on the Hill.
So we have a good balance on partisanship
when we look at how conservative
or liberal our respondents are,
they are pretty well balanced with the distribution
of liberalism and conservatism in the different parties.
They're also balanced by region, gender,
all of the sorts of things that you would want to see.
In that survey, we asked a bunch of questions
about what staff focus on,
what staff think about the public,
what the staff think the public thinks,
and all of those really set the stage
for an analysis of thinking about how staffers play
a really big role in democratic representation.
- So one really important thing that staff do
is that they make recommendations to their member
or to the Senator about how to vote on a bill.
And that's that key bridge that Matto was talking about
between the public and the actual decisions
that get made in Congress.
The question is what do these people actually know
about what the public wants
before they make that recommendation?
So we asked them, "When you're gonna make a recommendation
"to your member or to your Senator,
"what are you gonna base that on?"
And they told us that the most important thing
was public opinion, that this was really important.
So okay, we take that at face value.
So we asked them what exactly does the public want
on a range of policy domains that are actively debated
in the public, they're actively debated in Congress?
Things like background checks for guns,
things like the Affordable Care Act,
which was a really hot-button issue around this time
because we fielded this in the fall of 2016,
things like climate change regulation.
So we asked them, "What do people in your district want
"on these issues?"
And we should expect that they should know
the answer to that because it turns out
that the Congressional offices spend an enormous amount
of time, energy, and resources collecting
every single contact that they get
and entering it into a database exactly for the reason
of understanding what does their district want.
There's also public opinion polls that are out there.
There's lots of ways that they could know
what the public wants.
They have town halls, they have one-on-one meetings,
they do lots of things.
But the reality is that when we asked them,
"What do you think the public wants in your district,"
they did not know, on all issues.
It was across the board.
Even if you think about what are the likely voters,
do they know what the likely voters want?
No.
Do they know what the co-partisans want?
No.
Do they know what the U.S. public at large wants?
No.
So this is a really surprising finding
and the idea that the representation literature
that Matto was talking about really made this assumption
that the public preference was somehow being translated
into policy and in order for that to happen,
there has to be, I assume, some knowledge
of what the public preference is.
And we found a complete lack of knowledge.
So we had four hypotheses for why this was.
One, is it perhaps how much experience a staffer has?
So a more experienced staffer might know better
what the public wants.
We found no evidence for that.
The second one was how competitive the race was.
So maybe if you're in a really safe seat,
you don't need to care about what the public wants.
We did not find evidence for that either.
The third idea was what's called egocentric bias
which is this idea that the staffer
might be substituting their own beliefs
for the public's beliefs.
So we asked them what do they want on background checks,
on climate change, on the Affordable Care Act,
and pretty systematically, this was true.
They were answering that the people in their district
wanted what they wanted.
So they were substituting their own beliefs
for the public's beliefs.
In addition, we tried to think about the relationship
between interest groups and what they're thinking
about the public and we found a really key distortion there
which is that the more that these offices report meeting
with certain interest groups, the closer they believe
the public is to that interest group's position.
So in other words, the interest groups are driving
a wedge between what staffers and Congress think
the public wants and what the public actually wants.
- So in addition to the observational analyses
where we tried to link the misperceptions
that staffers had of their constituents
to these various hypotheses,
including interest group access,
we also fielded two survey experiments
on the survey instrument that we distributed to staffers
in order to pin down the causal effect
of interactions with interest groups
on how staffers perceived what their constituents wanted.
So the first survey experiment that we put
on this instrument was a list experiment
that tried to elicit from staffers
the proportion of staffers who admitted
that they changed their mind about a policy
after meeting with a donor
to their member of Congress' campaign.
We found that about 45% of these top staffers reported
that they had indeed changed their mind
about a piece of legislation after meeting with a donor
to their member of Congress' election
or reelection campaign.
And these list experiments are valuable
because they allow us to see what a population admits
about a sensitive behavior in a context
where they don't have to individually admit
that they have performed that action.
So a second survey experiment that we embedded
on this survey instrument was a little vignette
that asked staffers to imagine that they had received
correspondence from very different sources,
either from employees of a large employer in their district,
from members of a citizens' group in their district,
or from ordinary citizens themselves.
And then we asked staffers a variety of questions
about what they thought about that correspondence.
So for instance, "How representative might
"this correspondence be of your district's opinion
"as a whole?
"How likely are you to talk to your member of Congress
"about this correspondence that you've received?"
And, "How likely is it to shape the sort of recommendations
"that you make to your member of Congress?"
And notably we found that correspondence
that came from employees of a large business
in their district, staffers rated these types
of messages as being more representative
of their constituents as a whole
than correspondence from individual constituents themselves
or a citizens' group.
We interpret these results as potentially indicating
one way that organized interests,
in this case businesses in the districts
of members of Congress, can sort of skew the perception
that members of Congress and their staffs have
about what their constituents want.
If a business sends a whole slew of letters
or correspondence or meeting requests
to a member of Congress and his or her staff,
that can change the way that that office thinks
about what the public wants in their district.
So putting it all together, we think that our paper
contributes to debates over representation
and inequality in Congress at a time of rising inequality.
So we think that our results can help answer
why scholars like Martin Gilens, Benjamin Page,
and Larry Bartels have found this striking disconnect
between what Congress does and what average people want.
One reason why that we may see that disconnect is
that organized interest groups are skewing the way
that staffers perceive their constituents' preferences.
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Mitch McConnell Stalls Opioid Legislation To Hurt Democrats In Midterms - Duration: 3:34.
At this point, you would be very hard-pressed to find a single person in this country who
would say that we do not have a problem with prescription opioid medications and the deaths
that are resulting from the over-prescribing of these opioid medications.
So, it makes you wonder, right, why we're not seeing any action whatsoever from Congress.
I mean, the House of Representatives a while back actually passed a measure to help the
opioid crisis.
They've just been waiting for weeks or months at this point for the Senate to do the same
thing, so that they can get a bill to the President of the United States.
Well, according to a recent report by the Washington Post, the consensus among health
experts here in the United States is that the reason the Senate has not put forth legislation
to address the opioid crisis is because Mitch McConnell doesn't want to, at least not yet.
You see, the general belief among reporters and experts and industry officials who have
dealings with the Senate is that Mitch McConnell is intentionally delaying and stalling any
Senate efforts to address the opioid crisis in the United States until after the midterm
elections.
Why?
Because he is afraid that if they do it now or if they do it before the midterms, it's
going to allow vulnerable Democratic senators to go back to their constituents with a win,
particularly the people he's afraid of getting a win to are Claire McCaskill from Missouri,
Joe Manchin of West Virginia, and Joe Donnelly in Indiana, and here's the thing about all
of those Democrats.
Not only are they very moderate Democrats, they also happen to reside in states that
have been hardest hit from the opioid crisis, especially Joe Manchin, the corporate Democrat
from the opioid-riddled West Virginia.
If he were to go back with a victory and say, "Look what I've done to my state, for my state,"
same thing with Claire McCaskill or Joe Donnelly, it would increase their chances of reelection
this year, thereby ending Republican hopes of getting a stronger majority in the Senate.
Mitch McConnell is playing with people's lives.
I think the latest number is about 170 people every day are dying from opioid overdoses
here in the United States, 170 people every single day.
So, every day that Mitch McConnell delays this legislation, another 170 people die Sunday
through Saturday.
It doesn't even take a break for holidays.
People are dying, and Mitch McConnell would rather play politics with it than do something
about the problem regardless of how it affects the 2018 midterms.
Some issues, McConnell, you need to understand this, are bigger than politics, and if you're
the kind of human being that wants to play with people's lives because you think it's
going to benefit your career personally, then you're the kind of human being that doesn't
deserve to be serving the American public because you've forgotten what that means.
170 people every single day, upwards of 42,000 people per year dying, and Mitch McConnell's
okay with that as long as it helps Republican keep a majority in the Senate.
I want everyone to remember that when they head to the polls this coming November.
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The BEST of Porn Comments Part 2! Reading Porn Comments w Ricky Chops - Duration: 8:42.
all right next neighbor boys fell fucks and stuns big titty beauty this better
not be more Harry Potter part I got in trouble for that people are into all
kinds of weird shit you know I stopped I stopped becoming surprised at what
people do after I learned that you can actually that there are people I
actually out there that fuck dead bodies oh you know no it's a big thing back in
the eighteen hundreds cuz people died so quick like you back then there's such a
short life expectancy a lot of times it would happen during it's not like you're
gonna stop you know long Bon Jovi says when you've whacked off to a porn star
in the teen category for years and now she's in the MILF category that's real
growth right there that's true hey yeah hey you know that's that's deep
but it's the good thing about these types of videos is that you can it's
almost like you can crystallize some of your favorite stars and time you know I
mean like you can only if you stop at a certain point that's it that's all
you'll ever remember actress that's straight work and if you're not careful
you'll crystallize your monitor as well hey you know what's really sad whatever
you know whatever after a fad right you're going through the videos you come
across I don't know something like he said some other milf for example and
then you know you go you scroll through the comments and you find out she's dead
uh-huh that makes me so sad you know rip August Eames yeah that's that's like the
male version of postpartum depression you know mr. brown town 956 why didn't
the fuck is going on in his picture is that hi is that him doing a selfie in
front of a spread-eagle it is what the fuck they've got achievements on pornhub
now Hey hey what up I mean Xbox it has them
and there's barely anyone on their stepmom needs some spring dick Oh Rogers
excellent yeah yeah they're high quality I'm trying to get sponsored by them
all right off the bat listen hey this this chick she's got there's a lotta
there's a lot of thickness to her you know what I mean there's a lot of oh
yeah I don't know if I could do that let's not be proud of and show your
friends yeah it's just like it's a dirty secret you just keep it as a dirty see
most of the woman women I think I could speak for all men here most of the women
that you would fuck fall into the category of you wouldn't tell anyone
about it yep they go eight inch white Dean Once
Upon a midnight dreary while I pondered weak and weary over many a strangest for
his sight of hot xxx galore while I clicked my favorite bookmark suddenly
there came a warning and my heart was filled with mourning mourning for my
dear more just not possible I muttered give me back my free hard core fought
the server 404 Wow and that was Edgar Allen porn sexy strong man 69 69 Jesus
that sounds like my old xbox gamertag he didn't even get his dick in the picture
talk about a fail is he trying to show that he has blue balls cuz his balls are
like a different color uh yeah he his whole unit looks purple I think he was
previously featured on videos on punished tube comm he looks he looks
like his unit looks like McDaniels his unit woman yes it does damn its must've
squeezed it too hard with the Infinity Gauntlet you can't even get hard and you
come too early so denial time I think this must be one of those shaming fetish
videos can't quite wrap my head around that I
give you if so on a girl to verbally abuse you just take any modern woman out
for a drink or even better just marry her Lord of that daily dose all right
so Dog Boehner says you have such a small dick I'm gonna tell people enclose
this pissed me off how dare she judge when the man was limp
listen ladies some of us are growers give us a chance to get hard before
judging our penises that's like judging a baby's life before it grows up you
gotta wait for the potential all my fellow growers know what I'm talking
about installing the real one says gulag for
you I agree go gars that's a myth that's just what
dudes with small dicks tell people the next one is sexy young couple through
leggings I feel like they've left out the F word there's a chick wearing camo
leggings with her ass sticking up and the first comment is but I love for oMG
and he says yo why there's never fuck in the air okay wait hold on I got what's
up okay just text me I'm recording with Cyril the gaming grandpa he's 140 years
old his name is Cyril hello okay but Cyril Cyril is not that he's not a
muppet he's a person and he will refer to him as such okay that's right he's
not a Jim Henson animatronic he puts their hand up my ass all right I'll talk
to you later the next video is hot and saucy Pizza
girls 1978 classic 70 spoof porno John Holmes
I mean how old were you in 1978 like 97
that's a good time nice getting the century mark all the chicks wanna add
that notch to their belt
what's hey Sarah what's the secret to your bike what do you do you gotta be
doing something right Lazarus chamber oh shit you're like Ra's al Ghul oh man
every couple of months puts a little pep in your step huh yeah
it's a massage parlor down on street I
can't even pronounce that name the yellow psychotic thumbnail or avatar
below says wish Cox important today were like those what does I even mean I can't
what's he referring to I don't know maybe there's less veiny who knows less
it's probably cuz there's its standard definition you can't see all the
imperfections and this moron thinks that the Cox used to be nicer much nicer in
like 17 P the next one is she got those long titties like that's a selling
feature having saggy tits is apparently
something that you want to advertise nowadays some guys like it some guys
like it it's more it's it's like you know there's there's still big and
they're not fake I mean most you know a lot a lot of women are like that
especially when they start getting into the mid-30s right yeah doesn't take long
that's why no it doesn't that's why I go for the V cup they stay back and
luscious blonde agrees with me here she said she got those long titties I love
the way of saying that they're saggy but she got fucking huge once so that's
all cool other than that she got a pretty good sex of mr. Joaquim kesef I
love it when they know the names of the dudes in the video that's how you know
that you're a real porn freak if you're watching and you see a cock and you're
like oh that's that's what kiemce Kasim's dick I'd know it anywhere
I can guarantee that's a male and if you're a male that knows you know if you
know one too many names and porn of male performers just go ahead and lose my
number yes well I guess that's throw this number
out and
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Cardi B ft. Drake/Kodak Black/Moneybagg Yo - "Pablo" Type Beat | Prod. By @Chad_G - Duration: 3:42.Cardi B ft. Drake/Kodak Black/Moneybagg Yo - "Pablo"
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Renault Trafic 1.9 DCI L2 H1 DC AIRCO TREKHAAK - Duration: 0:52.
For more infomation >> Renault Trafic 1.9 DCI L2 H1 DC AIRCO TREKHAAK - Duration: 0:52. -------------------------------------------
Forgotten Marvel Movies | Yellow Syrup - Duration: 9:12.
For more infomation >> Forgotten Marvel Movies | Yellow Syrup - Duration: 9:12. -------------------------------------------
Suspect In Tractor Chase Accused Of Biting, Choking Police K-9 - Duration: 0:31.
For more infomation >> Suspect In Tractor Chase Accused Of Biting, Choking Police K-9 - Duration: 0:31. -------------------------------------------
bachelorette monday & shopping: summer vlog #1 - Duration: 8:45.
Bonjour friends it's Brady K! Back back back again with Miss Sara!! We are
hanging out today, we have things to do, so we're bringing you along!
Gotta go to the nail salon, I got to do some shopping.
We just want to hang, we're just
hanging out and doing things and you're coming.
So tie your shoes and let's go.
Why do we need to go to the nail salon?
Sad absolutely sad.
We're at the one, the only, Lebanon Denny's, is a place for the drunks and
stoners alike.
But here we are here in the middle of the day, I'm shocked.
Sara and I have decided that it is our life duty to make a
Rupaul's Drag Race-themed nail polish collection.
Sara, are you enjoying yourself?
Very much so.
So where are we off to now?
We're gonna go get these nails fixed,
cause it's a sad, sad tragedy.
Tears of a sad, sad clown.
That's correct.
And then, we're gonna go shop around a little bit
and whatnot.
Here we are, at our good old Sister's nails and spa.
we stan a legend, icon, and star.
We love you, Sister's, see you in just a minute.
So, are you happy?
I'm happy, but I'm a little spooked to be out doing things.
Be careful!
Sara and I are back in the car because we are headed
we are headed to Ulta DO NOT NOT LOOK AT THE ROAD RIGHT NOW
We are on our way to go makeup shop because we need some retail therapy.
I'm sad I had a long-ass week last week, it was rough but can't wait to
go shopping so
Made it!
Ok UPS.
My love.
SKRT SKRT
We're here!
I'm so excited to shop! Yay!
Ew don't film me from that angle.
Garnet, that's me.
Actually, I'm kinda into it.
Garnet, Amethyst,
And Pearl
AND STEVEN
Is it gonna rain, Sara?
I hope not.
Okay so I didn't buy anything, but Sara did.
She bought some things, some masks,
some concealer,
for these underage BAGS.
Some setting spray, some primer mist, she really went in.
Sara why are we so far away from each other?
BITCH WHAT THE FUCK
WHAT THE FUCK
Why is this music so fitting in this DQ right now?
So I never really gave an OOTD.
I'm wearing my phantom shirt from Appearel, my jeans.
So here we are scooting back to town.
We are about to make our journey and I think
it started to rain?
I honestly don't know, but I'm mad because I have to go home
and get ready and go to work.
And I'm finna take a nap.
As we thought.
I'm livid.
Free shower everyone!
Popping into Milky Way let's go see Baylee!
Wait, NO.
Bachelorette Monday!!
We got some stir fry.
Nachos.
Mountain Dew!
Every drunk girl at 3 am is like,
Mmm, chicken!
So, Bachelorette Monday is something that we do every Monday.
And, we all work so we
always come late, Baylee records the Bachelorette, we always
come, hang out, eat snacks.
And watch The Bachelorette!
So you all know Baylee.
This is Michaela she is one of my bestest friends, along with Baylee, and we all
go to Ball State.
We went to high school together and we love the
Bachelorette.
I'm gonna beat your ass!
So who's your fav? Who are you rooting for?
Garrett!
Garrett.
Team Garrett all the way, bitch!
Alright, give me your final thoughts on Jason.
Jason, I miss you and I hope you're the next Bachelor.
I didn't really care for Jason that much.
It was sad seeing him go, but yeah,
honesty is key
I love you.
He's running!
Okay get yourself friends like these
actually myself.
That make snapchat
filters for your party,
for the Bachelorette!
You can't tell cause my phone's shattered!
Ok well, that was fun!
So much fun.
Can't wait for next week.
Garrett has to win.
Men tell all, our last Bachelor Monday of the summer.
Bye vlog! Bye vlog!
Alright, well, thank you guys so much for watching today's video!
I had such a
great day with my friends.
I love hanging out with them, and spending time with them, and
I'm glad that I could bring you guys along, just to see what I like to do with
my friends on, you know, a typical summer day!
Thank you guys so much for watching
please like, comment, subscribe!
Thank you so much again, for the third time, and
I'll see you in the next video bye!
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5 Dark Secrets of 90 Day Fiancé that fans may not know - Duration: 5:14.
It's hard to imagine getting married to someone within just 90 days as wedding vows
are meant to keep a couple with each other for their whole lives.
While the idea doesn't seem reasonable for us, it's actually what TLC's hit show,
90 Day Fiancé, is all about.
With five successful seasons and numerous spin-offs, the show has stood out as one of
the more interesting reality TV shows which are currently on the air.
The show's subject itself is captivating enough as it follows the situation of a couple,
who are figuring out issues in their long-distance relationships.
All the couples consist of one US citizen and their foreign partner, who has been given
a K-1 visa.
With the number of people looking for love overseas, there are bound to be a few gloomy
secrets that only the die-hard fans of the show know.
Today, we have come up with the list of five things you may not have known about 90 Day
Fiancé.
But, before getting in, take some time to subscribe to our channel and click the bell
icon to stay updated.
#5.
Criminal history of cast members One of the cast members with a shady past
is Danielle Mullins, who had several run-ins with the law.
She was charged with forgery as well as stealing and using an unknown person's credit card.
Her husband, Mohamed also accused her of using his credit card without his knowledge and
opening an account in his name.
If that wasn't enough, she stole his money on several occasions.
Allegedly, she also has been arrested for driving under the influence.
Another fan-favorite cast member, Jorge also doesn't come clean when it comes to the
police record.
He was arrested for possession of marijuana before it was legalized.
And even after it was legalized, he got himself in trouble after illegally transporting marijuana
despite being an owner of a medical marijuana dispensary.
#4.
Mohamed asked for Anfisa's phone number After the end of his tumultuous relationship
with Danielle, Mohamed was looking for a new woman while trying to avoid threats of deportation
from his ex-wife.
Though his few relationships were documented on the show and his two-timer behavior was
quite familiar among fans, one lesser-known attempt by him was tweeted by the network
itself.
"Mohamed asked producers for Anfisa's number after filming," wrote TLC.
The Tunisian was trying to get some quality time with the recently single Anfisa, after
a reunion for Happily Ever After.
The producers humbly declined the offer but, it showed who Mohamed really was.
#3.
Father of Aleksandra's and Josh's child This was one of the most controversial moments
of the entire five seasons of the show.
Viewers had suspicions about Aleksandra's and Josh's baby's father over the skin
complexion of the baby.
While Aleksandra and Josh both are of fair complexion, their child was born with dark
skin tone and has curly dark hair.
The couple refusing to show the face of the child on the show and social media fueled
the suspicions even more.
Both of the couple's parents are also light skinned expect for Aleksandra's stepdad,
a dark-skinned Cuban man.
#2.
Anfisa and Jorge met on cam site One of most talked about couples of the show,
Anfisa and Jorge claimed that they first met each other through Facebook.
But, it became a subject of debate after allegations arose that the couple met on a cam site and
that Anfisa was an adult model.
Whether or not Jorge met her through the aforementioned way isn't clear.
But it is more likely that she was into adult modeling.
Alongside the reports of podcaster Stevie Ryan discovering her 51-minute X-rated tape
online, her revelation of her dream to be a Playboy model makes us quite sure about
her dark past.
#1 Minimum cast salary While some of the other reality stars of TLC
received a hefty paycheck of around $40,000 per episode, 90 Day Fiancé cast got only
$7000 for the whole season.
Still, there's an exception, this amount is only for an American citizen, not their
foreign partner.
After the first season, the amount was increased to $4000 per episode, and the condition applies
there too.
How mean is that?
The network was making millions of dollar from the show, but cast members were given
next to nothing.
Which of the secrets mentioned above did you find the most interesting?
Let us know in the comments.
Don't forget to like the video and subscribe to our channel.
-------------------------------------------
Amazon FBA Success Stories 2018 - Two $30/month Amazon FBA Sellers! - Duration: 20:45.
hey everyone welcome back to my channel today I have a special guest Amen I met
Amen early January actually found out about Amen's YouTube channel when I was
randomly browsing one day and I figured I found actually I found him in the
Amazon ninjas group and then I came across his YouTube channel and he had
some very useful Amazon videos and we started talking and then I realized we
were from the same city so I started reaching out to Amen and talking about
his Amazon journey and his experience and I want to share it with you guys
because I know Amen is absolutely killing it on Amazon he's not a
millionaire but he's doing amazing sales and he's been doing this for quite some
time so Amen why don't you let people know a little bit about your Amazon
business sure yeah first of all Tamara thanks for the intro we're all in her
group I'm sure she'll leave a link in the description for the Facebook group
you're doing a fantastic job in there I've also you know been talking about
your business actually want to flip it and do your interview one day so people
can you know because your numbers are amazing but yeah thanks for everything
that you do regarding my Amazon journey it's kind of a random
thing really to be honest with you I'm an entrepreneur since 13 14 years old
you know (wow I didn't know that) yeah I started I had a big thing for music and deejaying and stuff
so I started you know like every other student in the A/V Club and then from
there I fell in love with music you know bought some records bought some
turntables just started doing local parties went from local parties to school
dances to school dances to clubs and then I just built an entertainment company
over the few years I've stopped that now just because you know I'm older now
married got my girl so I want to spend time with my family yeah
but during that entrepreneurial journey we did a lot of you know installs in
terms of like venues wanted speakers or whatever it is so
purchasing from overseas and dealing with overseas suppliers is not new to me
I know Amen has a lot of experience with sea shipping so that is another reason I
brought him on to my channel he can share with you how he does all his crazy
shipping because he's been doing it for years right yeah correct yeah and these
aren't like small things they're like big you know big
massive speakers and stuff so at the moment I'm running a bunch of
things I'm an IT security consultant that's my nine-to-five it's my own
company and I consult with some various companies here and then between me and my
father we've got a construction business I do not really you know I'm not
involved in it too heavy just when he needs me but there's that and then some
other stuff on the side like for example I still run the entertainment stuff and
then I've got a social media branding thing that I'm working on right now just
to help like others you know build some social media real estate but Amazon is
kind of like the focus right now in the sense of you know you're gonna hear
these cliche statements like now or never it's the best time to be in it and
it's true right and you know it's funny I was on YouTube one day and
just searched I think I may have bought on Amazon you know how they can tell where you
buy and where you shop so you get all the ads and stuff come up and this yeah
and an ad came up for some seminar some webinar whatever it was and
seems pretty interesting I honestly can't remember who it was was but one of these Amazon
gurus you go check out her video by the way and I'm a
guy who's like I'm always learning I'm always reading books you know I'm always
listening to podcasts so and with me I get bored really quick so I was
just wondering and I saw this kind of caught my eye
attended the webinar and I just found it interesting because I've never really
sold anything online you know besides eBay but that's not really - we all know
eBay is like Craigslist - yeah like Craigslist but not like
actually establish a business with your own products so I thought you know what
this is pretty cool because you know I'm lazy man
I'm like laptop lifestyle that's my goal I don't want like you said I don't want
millions of dollars - you just need enough to be comfortable and share - exactly I don't want
I don't want fancy cars I don't want a big house I want to travel and when I
travel I want to go and stay in nice places but like you know what I don't
want to stay in like you know some junk place and you want freedom you want
freedom for yourself with your family and that's what I try to promote on my
channel and in my group I'm not here we're not here to make you rich we're
just here to help you make the extra income so you can enjoy free time with
your family your loved ones or to just buy things that you like that you have
the freedom to choose instead of go to McDonald's you can go to somewhere nicer
a steakhouse or something - 100 percent and that's what my whole vibe is in my whole
YouTube channel is like if you can make an extra whatever say five hundred bucks
a month yeah even I was just going to say even a thousand dollars a month
that's enough for you to enjoy a few nice things yeah that'll change
people lives you know what I mean and it's realistic and is doable that's the
thing like that's my whole concept like I'm not here to like you said I'm not
here to tell you gonna be rich you could be that's gonna take a lot of work
a lot of time a lot of money right - so Amen how much are you doing for sales a month
right now - me I'm currently doing around just shy under $30,000K gross that's
exactly like myself yeah and my margins on that are around at the moment because
you know my story about that stupid container got stuck in - so for those of you who don't know Amen
very well he got charged with custom was it a custom fee - so basically yeah some
random inspection contraband team came in I was FCO which means it wasn't a
full container load so I was sharing my load with another person and they
suspected something but they have to investigate everything so I
got hit with basically $3,000 US bill for their work and which took out a big
chunk so I'm averaging around 20 percent 20
to 23 percent margins which is typical people look at them be like oh
that's it I mean - that's good - that's retail average
yeah and that's after you got hit with the $3,000
correct yeah now have you found out why you unexpectedly got hit with that fee
just so I can share with the viewers like how often would that happen
how often is that the customs would actually search your container - I
don't know what the criteria was but what I've been hearing just from some
friends and stuff since you know the whole tariff issues that a lot of stuff
is starting to be searched I was very fortunate that I'm in a
market like I don't mind saying what market I'm in musical instruments and
stuff and you know I was never hit with a duty on top so it's just the fee so a
lot of people that I know that are in these certain tariff boundaries not only
did they get hit with these fines but they got hit with another tariff so it
is what it is there's nothing you can do about it like I'm not gonna sit here and cry
about it you just have to roll with the punches and deal with it you know
I think all these unexpected fees is another thing that I should mention
to new sellers or experienced sellers you have to have some money in the bank
you guys like there's been some people that message me and they're like
I have exactly let's just say $3,000 I'm ready to start and in the back of my
mind I'm always saying you know what you you need some money in the bank in case
something happens something can always happen you might get hit with an
unexpected inspection fees like what happened to Amen or maybe you know
something else can happen and if you don't have that money in the bank you
know that's just your business is never going to grow and you know can
become bigger so - yep 100% I agree with you if you're planning to get into
this business whatever money you have I don't care what it is $500 $1000 ten
thousand you better make sure that you've got 1.5 times what you actually
think so if you've got only five
thousand take you know 1.5 of that and just
stick it somewhere now you're left with whatever is left over that's what you
have to start so but yeah like I said you know numbers you know
they're good they're average I'm hoping to grow you know as well waiting for Q4
so we're getting prepped for that I think this year - so how long did it
take you because this is a very common question that people ask me well how
long would it take until I start seeing some money because all I'm seeing is in
the negatives and for me myself it took four months three or four months I started
seeing like you know a few hundred dollars and then slowly a few thousand
and now I'm seeing thousands after seven months but that's because I've
launched four products and I'm going on to my fifth product so Amen how long
did it take you - okay so I'm gonna answer that in two ways it took me to actually
start making money where I could potentially take out a little bit and I
mean a little bit okay probably six seven months yeah because everything
that I earned even today I'm almost a year in it'll be a year in like
September like for what I consider my year I have been selling on Amazon for a
while but my year where I actually got my shit together and actually learned how
to do it properly it's been a year seriously like focused and dialled in and
so to answer the question a different way it also depends on your goals like
if you're in it just to make a few bucks you know every month you can do it right
away really send a few items whatever it is but if you're here to build a
business something long-term and you're talking profits in three months you need
to find something else to do because like one thing with me is I'm a straight
shooter I say it how it is you know it really saddens me when people come with
these expectations that they're gonna be filthy rich after three months that's
not how business works - and you know what I blame all the lying gurus for that one there's a lot
of videos going on and a lot of get-rich-quick videos you guys do not
fall for that because we're obviously here to tell you that it takes
time money and you have to keep trying - I think the
biggest thing is besides the money that's a given it's growing in
time like you're gonna make mistakes you know there's gonna be hurdles like I
know so many people in the last two three months first product first time in
first hurdle they had a problem and they quit you know it's like okay just to
give you guys some sort of numbers say for a thousand for every thousand
sellers that joined today on Amazon ninety percent
yeah ninety percent of them don't make it past three months
very true so and these are just typical business stats so again you know if you
wanna if you want to build a business obviously make some profits you gotta
you gotta spend the time you gotta do the work and you got
to pay your dues - yeah I know for myself I make a decent
amount of money now where I don't have to go to a 9 to 5 job because that money from
Amazon replaces my shitty nine-to-five job I told you guys I worked at a
typical 9 to 5 office job and I was making like $4,000 a month like I made that
on Amazon very easily and that's where my money's coming from now however I
don't I actually never even took out any money for pleasure yet it's just
sitting in my US-based bank account because I'm launching new products I
know that for myself the more products you launch the more money you invest in
your business and saving your business the bigger it'll grow so I actually plan
to do this until the end of this year going to see how Q4 goes then in January
I'll start taking out start paying myself in huge chunks to enjoy my life
to kind of do other things but again you guys you it's very very hard to
initially take out money and but you still wanna grow your business I almost
feel like you have to decide on one or the other like you can take some
money out like you know a few hundred dollars like we mentioned however it's
it's more ideal and actually better to leave the money that you make in the
business in order to grow it - again it depends like if you're gonna do if you're gonna
do Mickey Mouse things you're gonna make Mickey Mouse money right it depends on
your goals right like if you want to make a goal of it and
establish you know something that you can leave for your family for
their families and you know that takes years you know like I commend you
like and people don't understand this is they think okay I'm gonna launch a
product and I want to make X amount of dollars and I'm good to go you're
actually gonna make money quicker for you to retire the way you're doing it
because the way you're doing it is one product two products four products eight
products as you exponentially release products your money grows exponentially
right that's what these gurus don't teach you yeah I mean like yeah it's
great that you want to launch more products but you gotta have a reason
behind it because why would you want to release more products if you're happy with
what you got yeah like with my business honestly I don't
want 50 products I want max 15 10 I want to manage it myself maybe one VA right
so my goals are different and that's really important like you really need to
sit down and figure out what you want to do - it's what you want long term
like I want an easy life I don't want to you know I got nothing against
you know running like I've had employees and I don't want to I don't
want to be in that position again because like it's a different mentality
now got to look out for them and their families - that's your full-time job
a couple of VA in there you know one
full-time employee that's not a problem right but I for me my business is I just
want no headaches like I said laptop lifestyle that's my logo
that's my goal - yeah both of our goals are not to get rich and buy crazy
super cars or crazy houses it's just further freedom so I hope you guys found
this video useful because we want to teach we're here to always promote to
you guys more freedom and just having that more comfortable lifestyle
really - yeah for sure you know a couple of
takeaways because I get asked all the time
you know about the business and stuff if there's anything you could take away
today it'll be two things one is don't quit because I can tell you from
experience my first three products I spent 7 grand and I failed 7 grand - that's
crazy because I last year I did one product and I failed
I lost 3000 I thought that was already a lot I was like oh my god that's like
that's a really nice trip to the Bahamas you know that's like a five-star and
then I was like should I keep going I'm so glad I did and it does take a
bit of money but you can't rush it
no you can't and the other thing that you guys need to know for
you newbies out there that's watching this or listening this business is not really
about the products the business is millions of people coming to a website
looking for something specific so you need to figure out what that specific is
and build your products around that so in other words understand keywords if
you can understand keywords like my best investment ever was paying money
to kind of like these like I'm a Helium 10 guy it doesn't matter what you
use like you have your tools I made more money just off Helium 10 than I did
just random researching on Amazon right because I'm looking for specific things
and obviously this video this is too long of a topic to talk about but
there's so many resources out there you don't in my opinion you don't
need a course to start plenty of information on YouTube if
you're jumping into Amazon for the first time my recommendation is and this is me
this is you know that's how I did it is start with retail arbitrage the reason
is again it's not to make money is to understand the system the experience it
doesn't matter if you make money or not like I took random stuff from my house
even brand-new stuff I didn't even open I made zero money honestly maybe
two three bucks whatever it was but I understood how Amazon works
understand how to create an account understood you know how to put my money
in - how to put up a listing
how Amazon pays you the ugly fees and everything and the shipping part and you
know the last thing is don't be scared of sea shipping get a forwarder find one
make him your best friend always use a freight forwarder honestly and it's
true it's not a hard business but it's not an easy business it's
just a matter of you putting in work - yeah I think this business in general is a baby
it's going to be your baby for a really long time and if you don't feed your
baby every day it's just gonna it's gonna collapse because Amazon keeps
changing and we have to change with it that's one thing I really want to stress
myself I actually did not follow a solid course as well I've seen a few courses
but I decided in order to be a successful entrepreneur and you have to find the
sources yourself you need to find people who are doing well and just copy them
ask them for advice and that's where I found Amen and we're both pretty much on the
same page so it works out yeah and it worked for you guys too - 100% I think
instead of buying a course what I would do is like I said absorb as much as
you can try retail arbitrage you're better off spending that thousand
dollars or just go to an event go to an event some sort of networking event
Amazon event whatever it is you'll gain more experience out of that than you
I cannot believe some courses are over a thousand dollars you know I
actually have to take some of this back because some people do have a different
learning capability some people are slower learners some people really like
courses because it's right in front of you and it's easy for you if that's the
case you can buy yourself a course however I strongly do not recommend
spending thousands of dollars on a course like No - because you end up
it's not even material it's not even the gurus you become a
sheep and that's the problem maybe three years ago two years ago
when Amazon was fresh you could get away with it but it's changed now like it's
about branding well it's about business it's about it's a bunch of other
things that a course doesn't teach you because if you've got twenty
thousand people every day doing the same research what
do you think's gonna happen right you gotta use logic so use a concept you
guys if you have any questions for us I'm going to wrap this up it has been a
while and my laptop is actually dying so Amen thank you so much for joining me
today if you guys have any questions for Amen I'm going to link his channel
down below if you check out his videos he's awesome he's very transparent and
his videos are so easy to watch please give them a like and thumbs up
and subscribe to him and if you guys have any questions for both of us you
know where to find us the group is Amazon FBA Winners yeah man
make sure you join it really helpful people and she kicks ass in that group
so I'll see you guys there bye
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