Friday, July 27, 2018

Youtube daily report Jul 27 2018

My name is Michael Griggs

I'm the senior house manager at next-step village and I've been sober for three years

the first time I got intoxicated was when I was 13 and I

Was with a bunch of friends at a friend's house and we had gotten into their parents liquor cabinet

when I felt the effects of alcohol for the first time, I got an overwhelming sense of euphoria and

the thought was placed in my head that if I

Introduced this substance into anything that I was doing that it would only improve it. So the progression

was

Relatively slow at first I drank for about ten years the last six years of that

I went into a freefall and that started when I was 19. I lost a job

I failed out of school and I got my first DUI when I was 24

I went to treatment for the first time after my family and friends gave me an intervention

After that first treatment episode. I returned home to New Jersey and had to move back in with my parents. I lost another job

Got my second DUI and had lost the will to live at that point when I hit my bottom

I had a moment of clarity where I realized there had to be more to life than the way

and living for as long as I had been and that's when I decided to seek treatment that change that came about for me is

Really hard to describe and it was more like a switch just went off. I can't really explain what happened

The biggest difference between going to the recovery village as opposed to the first time

I went to treatment was the change that occurred in me

I wanted to get help and I wanted to get better and I was willing to do what it took the most difficult part of

deciding to go to the recovery village was

knowing that I was going to be leaving home indefinitely and

also in a way it's the end of

one life and I wasn't really sure what

the next chapter of things was going to look like so that unknown was

Expiry I was in the recovery village

I

was able to

Focus on a lot of things and learn a lot of tools to be able to use once I left the recovery village

but the aftercare program allowed me to

practice those things and

Implement them into my life take on a life that I wanted so through my recovery

I've learned that I'm not alone and I don't have to do this alone that honesty open-mindedness and willingness are

indispensable in this journey

And the hard path is usually the right path

You

For more infomation >> I'm Possible: Michael G. From Alcohol to Recovery. [Addiction Story] - Duration: 2:59.

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Uncover the Boardwalk with Amy G: Relax and Recharge - Duration: 2:02.

We are always in search of a family get away that makes us feel like you're able to connect more.

Hey everybody! I'm Amy Gutierrez. You may know me as Amy G.

The Santa Cruz Beach Boardwalk is just this perfect place to get off the phone, get away, and recharge.

When we think as a family about what we could do that everybody is going to enjoy,

this location is something that rises right to the top because it offers so many different things for different age groups.

There's things that my daughter is going to like at ten, that my son may not like and he can go do something else.

We live two and a half hours away, but we feel kinda feel like we're way far away than that. You just really feel like you've escaped.

That lets everybody let their guard down because you just really feel like you are on a vacation.

There was no shortage of food at the Boardwalk, and everything was amazing.

Food is huge in joining family members, you know? Especially when you enjoy the same things.

Being able to have this ridiculously decadent tator twist with your kids is an bonding experience.

Shopping is always part of vacation. I remember, I was a kid, wherever I went with my Mom and Dad,

we always got some kind of token of where we had been, and that was something that you looked back on

when you got older.

I already knew that I loved the Santa Cruz Beach Boardwalk

just based on my history here,

but being able to come back and now as an adult, and watch my kids really, thoroughly enjoy themselves; this is the place to go.

Whether it's food, entertainment, sun, thrill seeking. It's all here.

For more infomation >> Uncover the Boardwalk with Amy G: Relax and Recharge - Duration: 2:02.

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Neu-Ehefrau Michelle Williams: Heath ist noch Teil von Leben - Duration: 1:08.

For more infomation >> Neu-Ehefrau Michelle Williams: Heath ist noch Teil von Leben - Duration: 1:08.

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The Tragic Real-Life Story Of The Man Who Played Sloth - Duration: 4:27.

John "The Tooz" Matuszak was just as famous in the '80s for his hard-partying, larger-than-life

persona as he was for his football game.

But even if you didn't know him for either of those reasons, you definitely knew about

his alter-ego the enormous, gentle Sloth, whose unconventional appearance was the face

of the 1985 classic The Goonies.

In a lot of ways, Sloth wasn't just the on-screen alter ego of the former football star, he

was the actual manifestation of the person Matuszak was on the inside: a lovable giant

who was also a generous friend.

After attending a few different colleges, including the University of Missouri - where

he got kicked out of for punching a guy at a party - he landed at the University of Tampa.

The NFL took notice of his 6 foot 8 frame - so much so that the Houston Oilers selected

number one overall in the 1973 draft.

Unfortunately, though, the man behind Sloth didn't get his happy ending.

During his second season with the Oilers,

Matuszak was traded to the Kansas City Chiefs, who traded him to the Washington Redskins,

who cut him just two weeks later, at the end of the 1976 preseason.

Why was his stint in Washington so short-lived?

According to coach George Allen: "Vodka and Valium."

"One for me...breakfast of champions, there."

This reputation for drink and debauchery would only get worse.

"I didn't know anything about John Matuszak other than he was supposed to be nuts."

After Washington cut him loose, Matuszak was

a free agent, and the Oakland Raiders were desperate after three of their defensive linemen

suffered season-ending injuries.

So they pretended they didn't know about the vodka and Valium and made Matuszak a Raider.

Coach John Madden told ESPN: "When he arrived, I wasn't about to talk to

him about his past.

[...] If you know too much about a guy, you tend to prejudge him, to hold his past against

him."

The gamble paid off.

In Matuszak's first season, the Raiders won their first Super Bowl title.

But afterward, he gradually began to fall back into his hard-partying ways.

He always played well, though, so he managed to get away with all the headline-making hijinks.

Matuszak's ex-fiance Stephanie Cozart recounted to the LA Times the number of times he committed

himself to rehab and then walked out before completing the program.

She revealed: "I have a little velvet box at home.

It's full of 30-day and 60-day chips.

They give those out at the [AA and CA] meetings.

His big goal was to get a 90-day chip [...] and he never got one."

In his autobiography, Cruisin' with the Tooz,

Matuszak described six separate incidents involving automobiles that each resulted in

convictions.

According to the LA Times, he had an excuse for all of them, ranging from swerving to

avoid a child to not knowing there was marijuana in the car.

In one incident, he attacked the other driver before fleeing the scene.

But he never wanted to take responsibility for his actions.

According to ex-fiance Cozart: "It was never his fault.

And it never had anything to do with the fact that he was high."

Football often leads to injuries and because

of one he sustained, Matuszak sat out the 1982 season and then decided to retire from

football altogether.

The pain and resulting medications were the final straw after years of hard partying and

drug abuse.

In 1989 at the age of 38, he passed away after accidentally overdosing on the painkiller

Darvocet.

After the coroner's report was released, his parents admitted that their son used prescription

and illegal drugs to try to cope with chronic back pain.

They added in a statement: "At the proper time, we will have things to

say about substance abuse and the scoundrels in the medical profession who recklessly dispense

prescription drugs and the parasites of society who distribute illicit drugs from back alleys

to fashionable condominiums."

In the midst of all of this, it's worth remembering

that John Matuszak had a big heart.

He was a brawler, a partier, and a guy who didn't want to take responsibility for his

actions, but that wasn't all.

"Well I'm really not mean in personality at all.

When you play the game of pro football, it's like assuming a character in a part."

He was also known for his generosity and often visited sick children.

Jeff Cohen, who played Chunk in Goonies shared: "John was really nice to me and it was fun

to work with him.

But it's funny, when I was a teenager and I would start to watch the old NFL films [...] he

would just terrify people on the field, which was totally shocking to me.

I knew him as Sloth, the nice, lovable giant."

According to the New York Times, the coroner's report also listed bronchial pneumonia and

an enlarged heart as factors that contributed to his death.

Unfortunately, The Tooz's big heart just couldn't handle all the excesses it had been forced

to endure over the far too-short life of the man it belonged to.

For more infomation >> The Tragic Real-Life Story Of The Man Who Played Sloth - Duration: 4:27.

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The Hunt for the First Neutrinos in the Universe | Cosmic Neutrino Background - Duration: 6:46.

[ ♪ Intro ]

If you like cosmology, you've probably seen this picture before.

It's called the Cosmic Microwave Background, or the CMB,

and it's a false color image of the oldest light in the universe that physics allows us to see.

It's a baby photo from when space was around 400,000 years old.

But it not the oldest image we might one day capture.

There's another, elusive cosmic background created by some of the most mysterious particles physics has described: neutrinos.

Appropriately, it's called the Cosmic Neutrino Background.

And if astronomers are able to snap a photo of it, well,

it'll open up a treasure trove of knowledge about the universe when it was only a second old.

Both the CMB and its neutrino counterpart have to do with a phenomenon called decoupling.

These were moments when certain particles stopped interacting with the rest of the matter in the universe,

and could stream through space without, for the most part, hitting anything.

See, at the moment of the universe's birth,

it was so hot that everything was just a soup of fundamental subatomic particles and light.

Then, as space expanded, temperatures started dropping, and particles started slowing down.

Eventually, that allowed the formation of protons and neutrons, then atomic nuclei,

and then atoms as a whole. And so on and so forth.

The Cosmic Microwave Background formed when photons separated from this soup.

For the first several hundred thousand years, there were so many lone electrons zipping around that the universe was opaque,

because photons couldn't travel very far before getting scattered.

Then, as the universe grew, the density of these free electrons decreased.

Many also started getting locked up into newly-formed atoms, so the average time between photon scattering increased.

And 380,000 years after the Big Bang, light was able to stream unimpeded through the universe.

Scientists say that this is when photons decoupled from matter.

And images of the CMB show us that moment.

But photons weren't the first particles to separate from the primordial soup.

When the universe was only a second old, neutrinos high-tailed it outta there, freely flying through space.

They produce their own background radiation distinct from the CMB, called the C𝝼B, or CNB.

The Cosmic Neutrino Background.

Neutrinos are in the same family of particles as electrons.

But unlike electrons, they're really hard to detect because they almost never interact with anything.

Like, you literally have trillions of them streaming through your body right now.

To neutrinos, even entire planets mean nothing.

This is why they were able to decouple from matter much faster than photons did.

They only had to wait for the universe to cool to 35 billion Kelvin, as opposed to a few thousand.

At that point, things were moving slowly enough, relatively speaking,

that neutrinos stopped crashing into other particles all the time.

Now, it's worth noting that not all neutrinos were made in the Big Bang.

They're also produced by stars as they undergo nuclear fusion,

and by your own body as certain radioactive atoms decay.

But cosmic neutrinos are a lot sneakier.

And right now, we don't have technology sensitive enough to find direct evidence of them.

Our current detectors can isolate neutrinos with energies on the order of 0.1 Megaelectron volts,

but that's over a billion times more energetic than cosmic neutrinos.

So we're working on indirect detection.

And there are a couple ways we can do that.

First, there's studying the CMB for any subtle imprints the CnuB may have made.

Basically, after neutrinos decoupled but before photons did,

the neutrinos would have created tiny sonic booms in the primordial soup.

They would've produced regions that were slightly hotter or colder than others nearby.

So far, some papers have reported detecting cosmic neutrinos' influence on the CMB.

A 2005 report in Physical Review Letters used data from the WMAP satellite and the Sloan Digital Sky Survey.

And Planck telescope data provided less ambiguous results a decade later.

It doesn't confirm anything for sure yet, but it is a promising start.

The other indirect detection method requires monitoring the radioactive decay of tritium.

That's a hydrogen atom with two extra neutrons in its nucleus.

Tritium naturally decays by emitting an electron,

but it can be forced to decay faster than usual if it absorbs a neutrino.

In that case, the electron it emits has a measurably different energy.

That energy actually depends on the energy of the neutrino that was absorbed.

So by tracking it, physicists would be able to tell the difference between the tritium absorbing a cosmic neutrino,

or one from another source.

The problem with this method, though, is scale.

Because the energy of cosmic neutrinos is so low, and our detectors aren't very large or sensitive,

we can only hope for a single detection a month. If that.

The KATRIN experiment in Germany, for example, uses 20 micrograms of tritium.

And under the most ideal of conditions they estimate they'll get 1.7 hits a year.

The PTOLEMY experiment at Princeton, on the other hand,

is currently operating a prototype device to track even more neutrinos.

It involves a detector the size of a postage stamp made of a single, atom-thick layer of tritium

on top of an atom-thick layer of carbon.

Ultimately, they hope to expand their amount of tritium up to 100 grams,

where they might capture 10 cosmic neutrinos a year.

So we'll see.

There's a ton of effort and money going into these techniques,

but scientists aren't doing it just for the thrill of the hunt.

Finding cosmic neutrinos would push back how far into the universe's history we can actually observe.

Right now, math can take us back further than the CMB,

but we don't have the experimental data to confirm it.

It's all hypothetical.

The CnuB would push us back to a time where matter and light readily interacted.

And knowing more about these cosmic neutrinos would inform astronomers how

what we normally think of as anti-social particles actually affected the structure of the universe.

So thanks, cosmic neutrinos currently flying straight through my… yep.

There they go.

Through the entire planet.

What are you going to do?

Thanks for watching this episode of SciShow Space!

If you'd like to learn more about the Big Bang,

you can watch our episode about the first few moments of the universe that physics can't quite explain.

[ ♪ Outro ]

For more infomation >> The Hunt for the First Neutrinos in the Universe | Cosmic Neutrino Background - Duration: 6:46.

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Cardi B ft. Drake/Kodak Black/Moneybagg Yo - "Pablo" Type Beat | Prod. By @Chad_G - Duration: 3:42.

Cardi B ft. Drake/Kodak Black/Moneybagg Yo - "Pablo"

For more infomation >> Cardi B ft. Drake/Kodak Black/Moneybagg Yo - "Pablo" Type Beat | Prod. By @Chad_G - Duration: 3:42.

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Audi A1 - Duration: 0:43.

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For more infomation >> VW T6 Multivan - Duration: 1:14.

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MPSA Robert H Durr Award - Eric Min - Duration: 1:53.

- In the research project that I've done

with my co-author, Azusa Katagiri,

we looked at 18,000 declassified documents

from the National Archives and Presidential Libraries

across the country to get a full

and comprehensive view of the Berlin Crisis

between 1958 and 1963.

And we converted these documents into digitized data

in order to test existing theories about

how public and private diplomacy work

in the midst of crises.

There's a lot of scholarly debate about

whether or not public statements are more costly

because they're done in front of an audience

compared to private statements,

which are seen as being costless and cheap.

But what we ultimately find is actually evidence

that goes in the opposite direction,

showing that it's often public statements

that tend to be the ones that are incredibly noisy,

are not very meaningful,

and it's often private statements that are the ways

that elites communicate with one another

in a very direct way.

And we show this using a combination of machine learning,

text analysis, and statistical analyses.

In our case, we were lucky in that these

groups of data were sort of separated into categories

that we really wanted.

So in terms of private documents,

we were looking at documents from

the Department of State, which was cataloging

all the cables that were coming in and out

but you know, all were confidential.

For the public documents, we were looking at

the Foreign Broadcast Information Service,

which was a CIA-run project back in the 50s

to try to capture everything

that the Soviet Union was saying

through its radio statements and public speeches.

And then we were looking at White House documents

as an indicator of what

the Kennedy and Eisenhower administrations were thinking

behind the scenes in response to the

kind of activity that was coming

in front of their desks.

For more infomation >> MPSA Robert H Durr Award - Eric Min - Duration: 1:53.

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Star Wars: AT-TE Walker - Vehicle Analysis - Duration: 4:31.

For more infomation >> Star Wars: AT-TE Walker - Vehicle Analysis - Duration: 4:31.

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DJ Khaled - No Brainer (Lyrics) ft. Justin Bieber, Quavo, Chance the Rapper - Duration: 4:22.

Boyz Are back !!!!

#CreepyArmy

For more infomation >> DJ Khaled - No Brainer (Lyrics) ft. Justin Bieber, Quavo, Chance the Rapper - Duration: 4:22.

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2018 Cyclone Scholar Summer Research Experience - service learning - Duration: 2:31.

*background music*

Well service learning was incorporated into the Cyclone Scholar program in

order to expose the students not only to our objectives of, you know, food safety, food

security and the childhood obesity aspect, but to also to give them an

opportunity to you know be involved in the community and see on that side of

things to really have that interdisciplinary approach to the

program. So not only are we wanting them to get the experience on the research

side of things, but coming up as the next generation of researchers, we want them

to see, all the way from the farm to the table, how they can make an impact in

this field.

*background music*

We helped a local farmer sort of weed some of his pepper plants and then plant

them in spots, plant others in spots where they were devoid of pepper

plants. It felt good to help out, especially with such a big field, and

kind of as he took us along, it made me realize how big his field was because

I've never been on a farm, even though I like gardening and things like that, but

that's very small-scale compared to that.

*background music*

I worked the Bingo station. It was

actually nutrition Bingo, though, so the tiles had different like vegetables or like

fruits on them and then what we read were just like facts about it.

And it was just, for me, personally, I felt like I learned a lot doing that. And

also it was very fun interacting with the high school kids being able to talk

about the foods on there.

*background music*

I think it's important to take part in these

service learning projects because this is how we reach out to the community. I

never knew that I could go into food science or go into nutrition until I

was already in high school when people are looking at colleges and already kind

of have their track for life planned out, or at least an idea of it. So I think

it's cool from that point of view, and also because it allows us to give back

and have influence over the next generation and the people who, who could

do amazing things in their future.

For more infomation >> 2018 Cyclone Scholar Summer Research Experience - service learning - Duration: 2:31.

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Relativism Refutes Itself (Greg Bahnsen) - Duration: 9:28.

Recently when I was in Moscow, I went to an international conference on religious liberty

Which in itself is very significant

I think that in Russia

They're having a conference on religious liberty and they held it I think probably purposely

To be ironic and maybe a bit pointed. They held it in the former building. That was for the Communist Youth Brigade

Where people were taught, you know, atheistic communism now in Russia, we have religious liberty

but of course as you might realize religious liberty means a lot of different things and

They probably didn't realize what they were getting into when they invited me to to speak to them on that subject

Because for two days, I had to endure all this barfy stuff

about how you know religion is the realm of the mysterious and we're all doing our best that you know,

And we're all very sincere and we're all you know

Really brothers under the skin and we really love each other and we respect each other and for dr

Bunsen stood up and said well, no, as a matter of fact, we don't all respect each other and we aren't all brothers

Okay, basically the argument for religious liberty that I was hearing from

Muslims and Hindus and Roman Catholics and Lutheran's

And seventh-day adventists and Russian Orthodox and old believers and so forth. The argument I was hearing is

Known as relativism. No one knows for sure. And so you create your own reality

You know, you've got to live with your own understanding of God

You've got to make your way in this world. And if your view of God helps you feel better then that's true for you

But then there are other traditions which should be equally respected in Russia now that we're opening the door to religion

That's what they are arguing other traditions that have to be respected as well

Okay. So what I spoke I'm not going to give you that whole lecture. Let me boil it down

I basically said religious liberty cannot be founded on relativism

See they thought relativism was just another way of talking about religious liberty everybody has a right to their own opinion

I said if you believe that everyone creates their own reality then Hitler creates his own reality, too and

Hitler therefore in terms of his reality has the right to kill the Jews

because that's the reality he's created and so here you have a suppression of religious liberty in fact genocide and

Relativism condones it because after all everybody creates their own

reality

and then I went through an ugly laundry list of all of the persecution each of the groups in the audience including

Protestants American Protestant was guilty of in terms of religious liberty. I

said every one of us is guilty if we're a relativist of

persecuting other people and

Allowing for it and holding two views that would allow for that when someone tells you you create your own reality and everybody's right

The answer is if everybody's right then clearly nobody's wrong including the EDL means of the world the Hitler's

The David Koresh's and all the rest

Relativism kills itself

It isn't sufficient for somebody to say

We you believe that but I believe something else and you know reality this kind of twist and turn to fit everybody. It's like

Reality becomes a smorgasbord you go into the smorgasbord. Maybe you'll choose the eggplant. I sure wouldn't

But I'll choose the fried chicken and you don't really want fried chicken. It's like reality will be whatever you want

You have the eggplant approach the reality of the chicken approach to reality you pick whatever you want. It's not like that and

Certainly. God is not like that. God is not a smorgasbord

God doesn't say well just please let me into your life. I'll be whatever you want me to be

And that's what I call the mr. Potatohead approach to theology. You know, some people will put mr

Potato Head together with eyes here and ears over here and all the rest. No, no, no. No God's not like that

He's really like this and it was not going to be out of what to say

Well God is whatever you want him to be what an insult

If God is whatever you want him to be he is not God, or she is not God. It is not God

Relaf assists well

It's true for you. It's not true for me true for you is one of the most asinine statements in the English language

Truth is not person relative

You know, let's go back to the doctor's office. Dr. Bahnson is told by this doctor

He's supposed to know he has the blood where he has the lab tests over. He says, dr. Watson. You've got diabetes

I say well that's true for you

It's not true for me

No, it's a relative assist nobody can know anything for sure

And this is what you're gonna get

I guarantee you if you go to a secular school, and the teacher likes you and

Interestingly enough in many cases teachers do like Christians even though they're not Christians

You know why because the Christian students are the few students that will challenge them and seem to be alert

at least they'll talk intelligently and

I'm not saying that as gratuitous, you know flattery to you guys because you're Christians

I mean that I've seen that over and over again teachers will say please come around and talk about this more at least

thinking these other kids, you know, just want a party or just want to get through the class, whatever but if the teacher

Talks to you after class wants to hear more and then wants to you know, it's always this condescending

Let me help you out of your Sunday school superstition and ignorance, you know

The university is going to really mature you. This is going to be the age of enlightenment for you

let me tell you well after you hold to your faith and

You give answers to the objections and so forth

You'll often have the teacher tell you and then you have roommates and others who will say this in a less

Sophisticated way the teacher will say well you have to understand that

You know truth is relative and you're very committed to this but in the university you're going to learn there are other truths

there are other universes to explore Oh

barf

Other universes, I'd like to live in the one where I find myself. Thank you. I want to deal with this one

When someone tells you the truth is relative that there is no absolute truth

The question you're going to have this is that absolutely true

Let me say that again because some of you started to nod off

Now I'm going to begin the sentence and when I get to the end

I want to see all of you still looking up here

Okay, when someone says there is no absolute truth you're going to say is that absolutely true

Now we're on the horns of a dilemma as logicians foot it because if the teacher says no even

That's not absolutely true. You say well then fine. Then I'm free to believe otherwise and there is absolute truth. I

Think he just says. Oh, well, I don't want to do that. So

Yeah, it's absolutely true

You say well, then you're wrong that there is no absolute truth because it's absolutely true that there is no absolute truth

And by the way, if it's absolutely true that there is no absolute truth. You've contradicted yourself

And so maybe you ought to go back and get some more education before you teach this class. Don't say that

Relativism is just another form of being arbitrary

Educated people know better than to be arbitrary. There are not many educated people in our culture today

Most college graduates are not educated people

I do not mean that to be just the slur and a slam against college graduates, but it's true

Literally descriptively true people can get a piece of paper from college and not know how to think

not know how to research not how to put together one paragraph of a decent argument and

the reason well

It's among many reasons but a major reason why people don't think anymore is because we've gotten used to being

Arbitrary offering mere opinions and then when there's a clash between the mere opinions running to relativism

Because there isn't that a lot more comfortable. If you're a relativist, then you can go to cocktail parties and everybody's welcome

I've done this I go to parties when I was at SC and the Graduate School and so forth

Jesus would be welcome at their cocktail parties. As long as Jesus didn't say he was the only truth that'd be fine

then we have Buddha and we have Jesus and we have Confucius and we have Mao and all the rest and

Everybody's just having a good time if we respect each other

Then we don't have to worry about people getting down on us. I'm welcome. You're welcome. Hey, I'm okay. You're okay

It's relativism and it's academically shoddy

People who contradict each other cannot both be right in some cases depending on the nature of the contradiction

Both can be wrong

But both cannot be right. I cannot have diabetes and it not be the case that I have diabetes at the same time

For more infomation >> Relativism Refutes Itself (Greg Bahnsen) - Duration: 9:28.

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MPSA Patrick J Fett Award - Hertel-Fernandez, Mildenberger, Stokes - Duration: 8:34.

- The paper that we presented last year was called

Legislative Staff and Representation in Congress

and this paper's really inspired

by an absence of research on staff.

There's been a lot of literature in the last decade

in political science that's really focused

on trying to understand representation.

Are elected officials trying to act and make decisions

that reflect the beliefs and attitudes and preferences

of the people who elect them

or are they responsive to interest groups

or other types of organizations?

But a lot of that is focused on the legislators

and elected officials themselves,

but often staff, policy directors, legislative directors,

chiefs of staff are sort of the bridge,

they're the glue that binds the public

to the elected officials themselves.

So if I contact my Congressperson,

likely I'm going to speak to a staff person

and then that staff person's gonna translate

my opinion to them.

So what role do these staff play in the democratic process?

And can a focus on staff really help us make sense

of some of the surprises that we found in the last decade

in the absence of a clear link sometimes

between the public preferences and staff,

public references and the way

elected officials behave actually.

So what we did was we launched one of the first surveys

of elites and we surveyed Congressional staffers.

So we surveyed all policy chiefs of staff,

all legislative directors, all chiefs of staff

for all Congresspeople and all Senators

at the federal level and we partnered

with a few elected officials on the Hill

to try and increase our response rate.

We got about a 10% response rate,

which was really good for work of this sort

that focused on elites, and more importantly,

the type of people who responded to our survey

turned out to be very similar to the general type

of folks on the Hill.

So we have a good balance on partisanship

when we look at how conservative

or liberal our respondents are,

they are pretty well balanced with the distribution

of liberalism and conservatism in the different parties.

They're also balanced by region, gender,

all of the sorts of things that you would want to see.

In that survey, we asked a bunch of questions

about what staff focus on,

what staff think about the public,

what the staff think the public thinks,

and all of those really set the stage

for an analysis of thinking about how staffers play

a really big role in democratic representation.

- So one really important thing that staff do

is that they make recommendations to their member

or to the Senator about how to vote on a bill.

And that's that key bridge that Matto was talking about

between the public and the actual decisions

that get made in Congress.

The question is what do these people actually know

about what the public wants

before they make that recommendation?

So we asked them, "When you're gonna make a recommendation

"to your member or to your Senator,

"what are you gonna base that on?"

And they told us that the most important thing

was public opinion, that this was really important.

So okay, we take that at face value.

So we asked them what exactly does the public want

on a range of policy domains that are actively debated

in the public, they're actively debated in Congress?

Things like background checks for guns,

things like the Affordable Care Act,

which was a really hot-button issue around this time

because we fielded this in the fall of 2016,

things like climate change regulation.

So we asked them, "What do people in your district want

"on these issues?"

And we should expect that they should know

the answer to that because it turns out

that the Congressional offices spend an enormous amount

of time, energy, and resources collecting

every single contact that they get

and entering it into a database exactly for the reason

of understanding what does their district want.

There's also public opinion polls that are out there.

There's lots of ways that they could know

what the public wants.

They have town halls, they have one-on-one meetings,

they do lots of things.

But the reality is that when we asked them,

"What do you think the public wants in your district,"

they did not know, on all issues.

It was across the board.

Even if you think about what are the likely voters,

do they know what the likely voters want?

No.

Do they know what the co-partisans want?

No.

Do they know what the U.S. public at large wants?

No.

So this is a really surprising finding

and the idea that the representation literature

that Matto was talking about really made this assumption

that the public preference was somehow being translated

into policy and in order for that to happen,

there has to be, I assume, some knowledge

of what the public preference is.

And we found a complete lack of knowledge.

So we had four hypotheses for why this was.

One, is it perhaps how much experience a staffer has?

So a more experienced staffer might know better

what the public wants.

We found no evidence for that.

The second one was how competitive the race was.

So maybe if you're in a really safe seat,

you don't need to care about what the public wants.

We did not find evidence for that either.

The third idea was what's called egocentric bias

which is this idea that the staffer

might be substituting their own beliefs

for the public's beliefs.

So we asked them what do they want on background checks,

on climate change, on the Affordable Care Act,

and pretty systematically, this was true.

They were answering that the people in their district

wanted what they wanted.

So they were substituting their own beliefs

for the public's beliefs.

In addition, we tried to think about the relationship

between interest groups and what they're thinking

about the public and we found a really key distortion there

which is that the more that these offices report meeting

with certain interest groups, the closer they believe

the public is to that interest group's position.

So in other words, the interest groups are driving

a wedge between what staffers and Congress think

the public wants and what the public actually wants.

- So in addition to the observational analyses

where we tried to link the misperceptions

that staffers had of their constituents

to these various hypotheses,

including interest group access,

we also fielded two survey experiments

on the survey instrument that we distributed to staffers

in order to pin down the causal effect

of interactions with interest groups

on how staffers perceived what their constituents wanted.

So the first survey experiment that we put

on this instrument was a list experiment

that tried to elicit from staffers

the proportion of staffers who admitted

that they changed their mind about a policy

after meeting with a donor

to their member of Congress' campaign.

We found that about 45% of these top staffers reported

that they had indeed changed their mind

about a piece of legislation after meeting with a donor

to their member of Congress' election

or reelection campaign.

And these list experiments are valuable

because they allow us to see what a population admits

about a sensitive behavior in a context

where they don't have to individually admit

that they have performed that action.

So a second survey experiment that we embedded

on this survey instrument was a little vignette

that asked staffers to imagine that they had received

correspondence from very different sources,

either from employees of a large employer in their district,

from members of a citizens' group in their district,

or from ordinary citizens themselves.

And then we asked staffers a variety of questions

about what they thought about that correspondence.

So for instance, "How representative might

"this correspondence be of your district's opinion

"as a whole?

"How likely are you to talk to your member of Congress

"about this correspondence that you've received?"

And, "How likely is it to shape the sort of recommendations

"that you make to your member of Congress?"

And notably we found that correspondence

that came from employees of a large business

in their district, staffers rated these types

of messages as being more representative

of their constituents as a whole

than correspondence from individual constituents themselves

or a citizens' group.

We interpret these results as potentially indicating

one way that organized interests,

in this case businesses in the districts

of members of Congress, can sort of skew the perception

that members of Congress and their staffs have

about what their constituents want.

If a business sends a whole slew of letters

or correspondence or meeting requests

to a member of Congress and his or her staff,

that can change the way that that office thinks

about what the public wants in their district.

So putting it all together, we think that our paper

contributes to debates over representation

and inequality in Congress at a time of rising inequality.

So we think that our results can help answer

why scholars like Martin Gilens, Benjamin Page,

and Larry Bartels have found this striking disconnect

between what Congress does and what average people want.

One reason why that we may see that disconnect is

that organized interest groups are skewing the way

that staffers perceive their constituents' preferences.

For more infomation >> MPSA Patrick J Fett Award - Hertel-Fernandez, Mildenberger, Stokes - Duration: 8:34.

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Mitch McConnell Stalls Opioid Legislation To Hurt Democrats In Midterms - Duration: 3:34.

At this point, you would be very hard-pressed to find a single person in this country who

would say that we do not have a problem with prescription opioid medications and the deaths

that are resulting from the over-prescribing of these opioid medications.

So, it makes you wonder, right, why we're not seeing any action whatsoever from Congress.

I mean, the House of Representatives a while back actually passed a measure to help the

opioid crisis.

They've just been waiting for weeks or months at this point for the Senate to do the same

thing, so that they can get a bill to the President of the United States.

Well, according to a recent report by the Washington Post, the consensus among health

experts here in the United States is that the reason the Senate has not put forth legislation

to address the opioid crisis is because Mitch McConnell doesn't want to, at least not yet.

You see, the general belief among reporters and experts and industry officials who have

dealings with the Senate is that Mitch McConnell is intentionally delaying and stalling any

Senate efforts to address the opioid crisis in the United States until after the midterm

elections.

Why?

Because he is afraid that if they do it now or if they do it before the midterms, it's

going to allow vulnerable Democratic senators to go back to their constituents with a win,

particularly the people he's afraid of getting a win to are Claire McCaskill from Missouri,

Joe Manchin of West Virginia, and Joe Donnelly in Indiana, and here's the thing about all

of those Democrats.

Not only are they very moderate Democrats, they also happen to reside in states that

have been hardest hit from the opioid crisis, especially Joe Manchin, the corporate Democrat

from the opioid-riddled West Virginia.

If he were to go back with a victory and say, "Look what I've done to my state, for my state,"

same thing with Claire McCaskill or Joe Donnelly, it would increase their chances of reelection

this year, thereby ending Republican hopes of getting a stronger majority in the Senate.

Mitch McConnell is playing with people's lives.

I think the latest number is about 170 people every day are dying from opioid overdoses

here in the United States, 170 people every single day.

So, every day that Mitch McConnell delays this legislation, another 170 people die Sunday

through Saturday.

It doesn't even take a break for holidays.

People are dying, and Mitch McConnell would rather play politics with it than do something

about the problem regardless of how it affects the 2018 midterms.

Some issues, McConnell, you need to understand this, are bigger than politics, and if you're

the kind of human being that wants to play with people's lives because you think it's

going to benefit your career personally, then you're the kind of human being that doesn't

deserve to be serving the American public because you've forgotten what that means.

170 people every single day, upwards of 42,000 people per year dying, and Mitch McConnell's

okay with that as long as it helps Republican keep a majority in the Senate.

I want everyone to remember that when they head to the polls this coming November.

For more infomation >> Mitch McConnell Stalls Opioid Legislation To Hurt Democrats In Midterms - Duration: 3:34.

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The BEST of Porn Comments Part 2! Reading Porn Comments w Ricky Chops - Duration: 8:42.

all right next neighbor boys fell fucks and stuns big titty beauty this better

not be more Harry Potter part I got in trouble for that people are into all

kinds of weird shit you know I stopped I stopped becoming surprised at what

people do after I learned that you can actually that there are people I

actually out there that fuck dead bodies oh you know no it's a big thing back in

the eighteen hundreds cuz people died so quick like you back then there's such a

short life expectancy a lot of times it would happen during it's not like you're

gonna stop you know long Bon Jovi says when you've whacked off to a porn star

in the teen category for years and now she's in the MILF category that's real

growth right there that's true hey yeah hey you know that's that's deep

but it's the good thing about these types of videos is that you can it's

almost like you can crystallize some of your favorite stars and time you know I

mean like you can only if you stop at a certain point that's it that's all

you'll ever remember actress that's straight work and if you're not careful

you'll crystallize your monitor as well hey you know what's really sad whatever

you know whatever after a fad right you're going through the videos you come

across I don't know something like he said some other milf for example and

then you know you go you scroll through the comments and you find out she's dead

uh-huh that makes me so sad you know rip August Eames yeah that's that's like the

male version of postpartum depression you know mr. brown town 956 why didn't

the fuck is going on in his picture is that hi is that him doing a selfie in

front of a spread-eagle it is what the fuck they've got achievements on pornhub

now Hey hey what up I mean Xbox it has them

and there's barely anyone on their stepmom needs some spring dick Oh Rogers

excellent yeah yeah they're high quality I'm trying to get sponsored by them

all right off the bat listen hey this this chick she's got there's a lotta

there's a lot of thickness to her you know what I mean there's a lot of oh

yeah I don't know if I could do that let's not be proud of and show your

friends yeah it's just like it's a dirty secret you just keep it as a dirty see

most of the woman women I think I could speak for all men here most of the women

that you would fuck fall into the category of you wouldn't tell anyone

about it yep they go eight inch white Dean Once

Upon a midnight dreary while I pondered weak and weary over many a strangest for

his sight of hot xxx galore while I clicked my favorite bookmark suddenly

there came a warning and my heart was filled with mourning mourning for my

dear more just not possible I muttered give me back my free hard core fought

the server 404 Wow and that was Edgar Allen porn sexy strong man 69 69 Jesus

that sounds like my old xbox gamertag he didn't even get his dick in the picture

talk about a fail is he trying to show that he has blue balls cuz his balls are

like a different color uh yeah he his whole unit looks purple I think he was

previously featured on videos on punished tube comm he looks he looks

like his unit looks like McDaniels his unit woman yes it does damn its must've

squeezed it too hard with the Infinity Gauntlet you can't even get hard and you

come too early so denial time I think this must be one of those shaming fetish

videos can't quite wrap my head around that I

give you if so on a girl to verbally abuse you just take any modern woman out

for a drink or even better just marry her Lord of that daily dose all right

so Dog Boehner says you have such a small dick I'm gonna tell people enclose

this pissed me off how dare she judge when the man was limp

listen ladies some of us are growers give us a chance to get hard before

judging our penises that's like judging a baby's life before it grows up you

gotta wait for the potential all my fellow growers know what I'm talking

about installing the real one says gulag for

you I agree go gars that's a myth that's just what

dudes with small dicks tell people the next one is sexy young couple through

leggings I feel like they've left out the F word there's a chick wearing camo

leggings with her ass sticking up and the first comment is but I love for oMG

and he says yo why there's never fuck in the air okay wait hold on I got what's

up okay just text me I'm recording with Cyril the gaming grandpa he's 140 years

old his name is Cyril hello okay but Cyril Cyril is not that he's not a

muppet he's a person and he will refer to him as such okay that's right he's

not a Jim Henson animatronic he puts their hand up my ass all right I'll talk

to you later the next video is hot and saucy Pizza

girls 1978 classic 70 spoof porno John Holmes

I mean how old were you in 1978 like 97

that's a good time nice getting the century mark all the chicks wanna add

that notch to their belt

what's hey Sarah what's the secret to your bike what do you do you gotta be

doing something right Lazarus chamber oh shit you're like Ra's al Ghul oh man

every couple of months puts a little pep in your step huh yeah

it's a massage parlor down on street I

can't even pronounce that name the yellow psychotic thumbnail or avatar

below says wish Cox important today were like those what does I even mean I can't

what's he referring to I don't know maybe there's less veiny who knows less

it's probably cuz there's its standard definition you can't see all the

imperfections and this moron thinks that the Cox used to be nicer much nicer in

like 17 P the next one is she got those long titties like that's a selling

feature having saggy tits is apparently

something that you want to advertise nowadays some guys like it some guys

like it it's more it's it's like you know there's there's still big and

they're not fake I mean most you know a lot a lot of women are like that

especially when they start getting into the mid-30s right yeah doesn't take long

that's why no it doesn't that's why I go for the V cup they stay back and

luscious blonde agrees with me here she said she got those long titties I love

the way of saying that they're saggy but she got fucking huge once so that's

all cool other than that she got a pretty good sex of mr. Joaquim kesef I

love it when they know the names of the dudes in the video that's how you know

that you're a real porn freak if you're watching and you see a cock and you're

like oh that's that's what kiemce Kasim's dick I'd know it anywhere

I can guarantee that's a male and if you're a male that knows you know if you

know one too many names and porn of male performers just go ahead and lose my

number yes well I guess that's throw this number

out and

For more infomation >> The BEST of Porn Comments Part 2! Reading Porn Comments w Ricky Chops - Duration: 8:42.

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Cardi B ft. Drake/Kodak Black/Moneybagg Yo - "Pablo" Type Beat | Prod. By @Chad_G - Duration: 3:42.

Cardi B ft. Drake/Kodak Black/Moneybagg Yo - "Pablo"

For more infomation >> Cardi B ft. Drake/Kodak Black/Moneybagg Yo - "Pablo" Type Beat | Prod. By @Chad_G - Duration: 3:42.

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Renault Trafic 1.9 DCI L2 H1 DC AIRCO TREKHAAK - Duration: 0:52.

For more infomation >> Renault Trafic 1.9 DCI L2 H1 DC AIRCO TREKHAAK - Duration: 0:52.

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Forgotten Marvel Movies | Yellow Syrup - Duration: 9:12.

For more infomation >> Forgotten Marvel Movies | Yellow Syrup - Duration: 9:12.

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Suspect In Tractor Chase Accused Of Biting, Choking Police K-9 - Duration: 0:31.

For more infomation >> Suspect In Tractor Chase Accused Of Biting, Choking Police K-9 - Duration: 0:31.

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bachelorette monday & shopping: summer vlog #1 - Duration: 8:45.

Bonjour friends it's Brady K! Back back back again with Miss Sara!! We are

hanging out today, we have things to do, so we're bringing you along!

Gotta go to the nail salon, I got to do some shopping.

We just want to hang, we're just

hanging out and doing things and you're coming.

So tie your shoes and let's go.

Why do we need to go to the nail salon?

Sad absolutely sad.

We're at the one, the only, Lebanon Denny's, is a place for the drunks and

stoners alike.

But here we are here in the middle of the day, I'm shocked.

Sara and I have decided that it is our life duty to make a

Rupaul's Drag Race-themed nail polish collection.

Sara, are you enjoying yourself?

Very much so.

So where are we off to now?

We're gonna go get these nails fixed,

cause it's a sad, sad tragedy.

Tears of a sad, sad clown.

That's correct.

And then, we're gonna go shop around a little bit

and whatnot.

Here we are, at our good old Sister's nails and spa.

we stan a legend, icon, and star.

We love you, Sister's, see you in just a minute.

So, are you happy?

I'm happy, but I'm a little spooked to be out doing things.

Be careful!

Sara and I are back in the car because we are headed

we are headed to Ulta DO NOT NOT LOOK AT THE ROAD RIGHT NOW

We are on our way to go makeup shop because we need some retail therapy.

I'm sad I had a long-ass week last week, it was rough but can't wait to

go shopping so

Made it!

Ok UPS.

My love.

SKRT SKRT

We're here!

I'm so excited to shop! Yay!

Ew don't film me from that angle.

Garnet, that's me.

Actually, I'm kinda into it.

Garnet, Amethyst,

And Pearl

AND STEVEN

Is it gonna rain, Sara?

I hope not.

Okay so I didn't buy anything, but Sara did.

She bought some things, some masks,

some concealer,

for these underage BAGS.

Some setting spray, some primer mist, she really went in.

Sara why are we so far away from each other?

BITCH WHAT THE FUCK

WHAT THE FUCK

Why is this music so fitting in this DQ right now?

So I never really gave an OOTD.

I'm wearing my phantom shirt from Appearel, my jeans.

So here we are scooting back to town.

We are about to make our journey and I think

it started to rain?

I honestly don't know, but I'm mad because I have to go home

and get ready and go to work.

And I'm finna take a nap.

As we thought.

I'm livid.

Free shower everyone!

Popping into Milky Way let's go see Baylee!

Wait, NO.

Bachelorette Monday!!

We got some stir fry.

Nachos.

Mountain Dew!

Every drunk girl at 3 am is like,

Mmm, chicken!

So, Bachelorette Monday is something that we do every Monday.

And, we all work so we

always come late, Baylee records the Bachelorette, we always

come, hang out, eat snacks.

And watch The Bachelorette!

So you all know Baylee.

This is Michaela she is one of my bestest friends, along with Baylee, and we all

go to Ball State.

We went to high school together and we love the

Bachelorette.

I'm gonna beat your ass!

So who's your fav? Who are you rooting for?

Garrett!

Garrett.

Team Garrett all the way, bitch!

Alright, give me your final thoughts on Jason.

Jason, I miss you and I hope you're the next Bachelor.

I didn't really care for Jason that much.

It was sad seeing him go, but yeah,

honesty is key

I love you.

He's running!

Okay get yourself friends like these

actually myself.

That make snapchat

filters for your party,

for the Bachelorette!

You can't tell cause my phone's shattered!

Ok well, that was fun!

So much fun.

Can't wait for next week.

Garrett has to win.

Men tell all, our last Bachelor Monday of the summer.

Bye vlog! Bye vlog!

Alright, well, thank you guys so much for watching today's video!

I had such a

great day with my friends.

I love hanging out with them, and spending time with them, and

I'm glad that I could bring you guys along, just to see what I like to do with

my friends on, you know, a typical summer day!

Thank you guys so much for watching

please like, comment, subscribe!

Thank you so much again, for the third time, and

I'll see you in the next video bye!

For more infomation >> bachelorette monday & shopping: summer vlog #1 - Duration: 8:45.

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5 Dark Secrets of 90 Day Fiancé that fans may not know - Duration: 5:14.

It's hard to imagine getting married to someone within just 90 days as wedding vows

are meant to keep a couple with each other for their whole lives.

While the idea doesn't seem reasonable for us, it's actually what TLC's hit show,

90 Day Fiancé, is all about.

With five successful seasons and numerous spin-offs, the show has stood out as one of

the more interesting reality TV shows which are currently on the air.

The show's subject itself is captivating enough as it follows the situation of a couple,

who are figuring out issues in their long-distance relationships.

All the couples consist of one US citizen and their foreign partner, who has been given

a K-1 visa.

With the number of people looking for love overseas, there are bound to be a few gloomy

secrets that only the die-hard fans of the show know.

Today, we have come up with the list of five things you may not have known about 90 Day

Fiancé.

But, before getting in, take some time to subscribe to our channel and click the bell

icon to stay updated.

#5.

Criminal history of cast members One of the cast members with a shady past

is Danielle Mullins, who had several run-ins with the law.

She was charged with forgery as well as stealing and using an unknown person's credit card.

Her husband, Mohamed also accused her of using his credit card without his knowledge and

opening an account in his name.

If that wasn't enough, she stole his money on several occasions.

Allegedly, she also has been arrested for driving under the influence.

Another fan-favorite cast member, Jorge also doesn't come clean when it comes to the

police record.

He was arrested for possession of marijuana before it was legalized.

And even after it was legalized, he got himself in trouble after illegally transporting marijuana

despite being an owner of a medical marijuana dispensary.

#4.

Mohamed asked for Anfisa's phone number After the end of his tumultuous relationship

with Danielle, Mohamed was looking for a new woman while trying to avoid threats of deportation

from his ex-wife.

Though his few relationships were documented on the show and his two-timer behavior was

quite familiar among fans, one lesser-known attempt by him was tweeted by the network

itself.

"Mohamed asked producers for Anfisa's number after filming," wrote TLC.

The Tunisian was trying to get some quality time with the recently single Anfisa, after

a reunion for Happily Ever After.

The producers humbly declined the offer but, it showed who Mohamed really was.

#3.

Father of Aleksandra's and Josh's child This was one of the most controversial moments

of the entire five seasons of the show.

Viewers had suspicions about Aleksandra's and Josh's baby's father over the skin

complexion of the baby.

While Aleksandra and Josh both are of fair complexion, their child was born with dark

skin tone and has curly dark hair.

The couple refusing to show the face of the child on the show and social media fueled

the suspicions even more.

Both of the couple's parents are also light skinned expect for Aleksandra's stepdad,

a dark-skinned Cuban man.

#2.

Anfisa and Jorge met on cam site One of most talked about couples of the show,

Anfisa and Jorge claimed that they first met each other through Facebook.

But, it became a subject of debate after allegations arose that the couple met on a cam site and

that Anfisa was an adult model.

Whether or not Jorge met her through the aforementioned way isn't clear.

But it is more likely that she was into adult modeling.

Alongside the reports of podcaster Stevie Ryan discovering her 51-minute X-rated tape

online, her revelation of her dream to be a Playboy model makes us quite sure about

her dark past.

#1 Minimum cast salary While some of the other reality stars of TLC

received a hefty paycheck of around $40,000 per episode, 90 Day Fiancé cast got only

$7000 for the whole season.

Still, there's an exception, this amount is only for an American citizen, not their

foreign partner.

After the first season, the amount was increased to $4000 per episode, and the condition applies

there too.

How mean is that?

The network was making millions of dollar from the show, but cast members were given

next to nothing.

Which of the secrets mentioned above did you find the most interesting?

Let us know in the comments.

Don't forget to like the video and subscribe to our channel.

For more infomation >> 5 Dark Secrets of 90 Day Fiancé that fans may not know - Duration: 5:14.

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Amazon FBA Success Stories 2018 - Two $30/month Amazon FBA Sellers! - Duration: 20:45.

hey everyone welcome back to my channel today I have a special guest Amen I met

Amen early January actually found out about Amen's YouTube channel when I was

randomly browsing one day and I figured I found actually I found him in the

Amazon ninjas group and then I came across his YouTube channel and he had

some very useful Amazon videos and we started talking and then I realized we

were from the same city so I started reaching out to Amen and talking about

his Amazon journey and his experience and I want to share it with you guys

because I know Amen is absolutely killing it on Amazon he's not a

millionaire but he's doing amazing sales and he's been doing this for quite some

time so Amen why don't you let people know a little bit about your Amazon

business sure yeah first of all Tamara thanks for the intro we're all in her

group I'm sure she'll leave a link in the description for the Facebook group

you're doing a fantastic job in there I've also you know been talking about

your business actually want to flip it and do your interview one day so people

can you know because your numbers are amazing but yeah thanks for everything

that you do regarding my Amazon journey it's kind of a random

thing really to be honest with you I'm an entrepreneur since 13 14 years old

you know (wow I didn't know that) yeah I started I had a big thing for music and deejaying and stuff

so I started you know like every other student in the A/V Club and then from

there I fell in love with music you know bought some records bought some

turntables just started doing local parties went from local parties to school

dances to school dances to clubs and then I just built an entertainment company

over the few years I've stopped that now just because you know I'm older now

married got my girl so I want to spend time with my family yeah

but during that entrepreneurial journey we did a lot of you know installs in

terms of like venues wanted speakers or whatever it is so

purchasing from overseas and dealing with overseas suppliers is not new to me

I know Amen has a lot of experience with sea shipping so that is another reason I

brought him on to my channel he can share with you how he does all his crazy

shipping because he's been doing it for years right yeah correct yeah and these

aren't like small things they're like big you know big

massive speakers and stuff so at the moment I'm running a bunch of

things I'm an IT security consultant that's my nine-to-five it's my own

company and I consult with some various companies here and then between me and my

father we've got a construction business I do not really you know I'm not

involved in it too heavy just when he needs me but there's that and then some

other stuff on the side like for example I still run the entertainment stuff and

then I've got a social media branding thing that I'm working on right now just

to help like others you know build some social media real estate but Amazon is

kind of like the focus right now in the sense of you know you're gonna hear

these cliche statements like now or never it's the best time to be in it and

it's true right and you know it's funny I was on YouTube one day and

just searched I think I may have bought on Amazon you know how they can tell where you

buy and where you shop so you get all the ads and stuff come up and this yeah

and an ad came up for some seminar some webinar whatever it was and

seems pretty interesting I honestly can't remember who it was was but one of these Amazon

gurus you go check out her video by the way and I'm a

guy who's like I'm always learning I'm always reading books you know I'm always

listening to podcasts so and with me I get bored really quick so I was

just wondering and I saw this kind of caught my eye

attended the webinar and I just found it interesting because I've never really

sold anything online you know besides eBay but that's not really - we all know

eBay is like Craigslist - yeah like Craigslist but not like

actually establish a business with your own products so I thought you know what

this is pretty cool because you know I'm lazy man

I'm like laptop lifestyle that's my goal I don't want like you said I don't want

millions of dollars - you just need enough to be comfortable and share - exactly I don't want

I don't want fancy cars I don't want a big house I want to travel and when I

travel I want to go and stay in nice places but like you know what I don't

want to stay in like you know some junk place and you want freedom you want

freedom for yourself with your family and that's what I try to promote on my

channel and in my group I'm not here we're not here to make you rich we're

just here to help you make the extra income so you can enjoy free time with

your family your loved ones or to just buy things that you like that you have

the freedom to choose instead of go to McDonald's you can go to somewhere nicer

a steakhouse or something - 100 percent and that's what my whole vibe is in my whole

YouTube channel is like if you can make an extra whatever say five hundred bucks

a month yeah even I was just going to say even a thousand dollars a month

that's enough for you to enjoy a few nice things yeah that'll change

people lives you know what I mean and it's realistic and is doable that's the

thing like that's my whole concept like I'm not here to like you said I'm not

here to tell you gonna be rich you could be that's gonna take a lot of work

a lot of time a lot of money right - so Amen how much are you doing for sales a month

right now - me I'm currently doing around just shy under $30,000K gross that's

exactly like myself yeah and my margins on that are around at the moment because

you know my story about that stupid container got stuck in - so for those of you who don't know Amen

very well he got charged with custom was it a custom fee - so basically yeah some

random inspection contraband team came in I was FCO which means it wasn't a

full container load so I was sharing my load with another person and they

suspected something but they have to investigate everything so I

got hit with basically $3,000 US bill for their work and which took out a big

chunk so I'm averaging around 20 percent 20

to 23 percent margins which is typical people look at them be like oh

that's it I mean - that's good - that's retail average

yeah and that's after you got hit with the $3,000

correct yeah now have you found out why you unexpectedly got hit with that fee

just so I can share with the viewers like how often would that happen

how often is that the customs would actually search your container - I

don't know what the criteria was but what I've been hearing just from some

friends and stuff since you know the whole tariff issues that a lot of stuff

is starting to be searched I was very fortunate that I'm in a

market like I don't mind saying what market I'm in musical instruments and

stuff and you know I was never hit with a duty on top so it's just the fee so a

lot of people that I know that are in these certain tariff boundaries not only

did they get hit with these fines but they got hit with another tariff so it

is what it is there's nothing you can do about it like I'm not gonna sit here and cry

about it you just have to roll with the punches and deal with it you know

I think all these unexpected fees is another thing that I should mention

to new sellers or experienced sellers you have to have some money in the bank

you guys like there's been some people that message me and they're like

I have exactly let's just say $3,000 I'm ready to start and in the back of my

mind I'm always saying you know what you you need some money in the bank in case

something happens something can always happen you might get hit with an

unexpected inspection fees like what happened to Amen or maybe you know

something else can happen and if you don't have that money in the bank you

know that's just your business is never going to grow and you know can

become bigger so - yep 100% I agree with you if you're planning to get into

this business whatever money you have I don't care what it is $500 $1000 ten

thousand you better make sure that you've got 1.5 times what you actually

think so if you've got only five

thousand take you know 1.5 of that and just

stick it somewhere now you're left with whatever is left over that's what you

have to start so but yeah like I said you know numbers you know

they're good they're average I'm hoping to grow you know as well waiting for Q4

so we're getting prepped for that I think this year - so how long did it

take you because this is a very common question that people ask me well how

long would it take until I start seeing some money because all I'm seeing is in

the negatives and for me myself it took four months three or four months I started

seeing like you know a few hundred dollars and then slowly a few thousand

and now I'm seeing thousands after seven months but that's because I've

launched four products and I'm going on to my fifth product so Amen how long

did it take you - okay so I'm gonna answer that in two ways it took me to actually

start making money where I could potentially take out a little bit and I

mean a little bit okay probably six seven months yeah because everything

that I earned even today I'm almost a year in it'll be a year in like

September like for what I consider my year I have been selling on Amazon for a

while but my year where I actually got my shit together and actually learned how

to do it properly it's been a year seriously like focused and dialled in and

so to answer the question a different way it also depends on your goals like

if you're in it just to make a few bucks you know every month you can do it right

away really send a few items whatever it is but if you're here to build a

business something long-term and you're talking profits in three months you need

to find something else to do because like one thing with me is I'm a straight

shooter I say it how it is you know it really saddens me when people come with

these expectations that they're gonna be filthy rich after three months that's

not how business works - and you know what I blame all the lying gurus for that one there's a lot

of videos going on and a lot of get-rich-quick videos you guys do not

fall for that because we're obviously here to tell you that it takes

time money and you have to keep trying - I think the

biggest thing is besides the money that's a given it's growing in

time like you're gonna make mistakes you know there's gonna be hurdles like I

know so many people in the last two three months first product first time in

first hurdle they had a problem and they quit you know it's like okay just to

give you guys some sort of numbers say for a thousand for every thousand

sellers that joined today on Amazon ninety percent

yeah ninety percent of them don't make it past three months

very true so and these are just typical business stats so again you know if you

wanna if you want to build a business obviously make some profits you gotta

you gotta spend the time you gotta do the work and you got

to pay your dues - yeah I know for myself I make a decent

amount of money now where I don't have to go to a 9 to 5 job because that money from

Amazon replaces my shitty nine-to-five job I told you guys I worked at a

typical 9 to 5 office job and I was making like $4,000 a month like I made that

on Amazon very easily and that's where my money's coming from now however I

don't I actually never even took out any money for pleasure yet it's just

sitting in my US-based bank account because I'm launching new products I

know that for myself the more products you launch the more money you invest in

your business and saving your business the bigger it'll grow so I actually plan

to do this until the end of this year going to see how Q4 goes then in January

I'll start taking out start paying myself in huge chunks to enjoy my life

to kind of do other things but again you guys you it's very very hard to

initially take out money and but you still wanna grow your business I almost

feel like you have to decide on one or the other like you can take some

money out like you know a few hundred dollars like we mentioned however it's

it's more ideal and actually better to leave the money that you make in the

business in order to grow it - again it depends like if you're gonna do if you're gonna

do Mickey Mouse things you're gonna make Mickey Mouse money right it depends on

your goals right like if you want to make a goal of it and

establish you know something that you can leave for your family for

their families and you know that takes years you know like I commend you

like and people don't understand this is they think okay I'm gonna launch a

product and I want to make X amount of dollars and I'm good to go you're

actually gonna make money quicker for you to retire the way you're doing it

because the way you're doing it is one product two products four products eight

products as you exponentially release products your money grows exponentially

right that's what these gurus don't teach you yeah I mean like yeah it's

great that you want to launch more products but you gotta have a reason

behind it because why would you want to release more products if you're happy with

what you got yeah like with my business honestly I don't

want 50 products I want max 15 10 I want to manage it myself maybe one VA right

so my goals are different and that's really important like you really need to

sit down and figure out what you want to do - it's what you want long term

like I want an easy life I don't want to you know I got nothing against

you know running like I've had employees and I don't want to I don't

want to be in that position again because like it's a different mentality

now got to look out for them and their families - that's your full-time job

a couple of VA in there you know one

full-time employee that's not a problem right but I for me my business is I just

want no headaches like I said laptop lifestyle that's my logo

that's my goal - yeah both of our goals are not to get rich and buy crazy

super cars or crazy houses it's just further freedom so I hope you guys found

this video useful because we want to teach we're here to always promote to

you guys more freedom and just having that more comfortable lifestyle

really - yeah for sure you know a couple of

takeaways because I get asked all the time

you know about the business and stuff if there's anything you could take away

today it'll be two things one is don't quit because I can tell you from

experience my first three products I spent 7 grand and I failed 7 grand - that's

crazy because I last year I did one product and I failed

I lost 3000 I thought that was already a lot I was like oh my god that's like

that's a really nice trip to the Bahamas you know that's like a five-star and

then I was like should I keep going I'm so glad I did and it does take a

bit of money but you can't rush it

no you can't and the other thing that you guys need to know for

you newbies out there that's watching this or listening this business is not really

about the products the business is millions of people coming to a website

looking for something specific so you need to figure out what that specific is

and build your products around that so in other words understand keywords if

you can understand keywords like my best investment ever was paying money

to kind of like these like I'm a Helium 10 guy it doesn't matter what you

use like you have your tools I made more money just off Helium 10 than I did

just random researching on Amazon right because I'm looking for specific things

and obviously this video this is too long of a topic to talk about but

there's so many resources out there you don't in my opinion you don't

need a course to start plenty of information on YouTube if

you're jumping into Amazon for the first time my recommendation is and this is me

this is you know that's how I did it is start with retail arbitrage the reason

is again it's not to make money is to understand the system the experience it

doesn't matter if you make money or not like I took random stuff from my house

even brand-new stuff I didn't even open I made zero money honestly maybe

two three bucks whatever it was but I understood how Amazon works

understand how to create an account understood you know how to put my money

in - how to put up a listing

how Amazon pays you the ugly fees and everything and the shipping part and you

know the last thing is don't be scared of sea shipping get a forwarder find one

make him your best friend always use a freight forwarder honestly and it's

true it's not a hard business but it's not an easy business it's

just a matter of you putting in work - yeah I think this business in general is a baby

it's going to be your baby for a really long time and if you don't feed your

baby every day it's just gonna it's gonna collapse because Amazon keeps

changing and we have to change with it that's one thing I really want to stress

myself I actually did not follow a solid course as well I've seen a few courses

but I decided in order to be a successful entrepreneur and you have to find the

sources yourself you need to find people who are doing well and just copy them

ask them for advice and that's where I found Amen and we're both pretty much on the

same page so it works out yeah and it worked for you guys too - 100% I think

instead of buying a course what I would do is like I said absorb as much as

you can try retail arbitrage you're better off spending that thousand

dollars or just go to an event go to an event some sort of networking event

Amazon event whatever it is you'll gain more experience out of that than you

I cannot believe some courses are over a thousand dollars you know I

actually have to take some of this back because some people do have a different

learning capability some people are slower learners some people really like

courses because it's right in front of you and it's easy for you if that's the

case you can buy yourself a course however I strongly do not recommend

spending thousands of dollars on a course like No - because you end up

it's not even material it's not even the gurus you become a

sheep and that's the problem maybe three years ago two years ago

when Amazon was fresh you could get away with it but it's changed now like it's

about branding well it's about business it's about it's a bunch of other

things that a course doesn't teach you because if you've got twenty

thousand people every day doing the same research what

do you think's gonna happen right you gotta use logic so use a concept you

guys if you have any questions for us I'm going to wrap this up it has been a

while and my laptop is actually dying so Amen thank you so much for joining me

today if you guys have any questions for Amen I'm going to link his channel

down below if you check out his videos he's awesome he's very transparent and

his videos are so easy to watch please give them a like and thumbs up

and subscribe to him and if you guys have any questions for both of us you

know where to find us the group is Amazon FBA Winners yeah man

make sure you join it really helpful people and she kicks ass in that group

so I'll see you guys there bye

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